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Morning report

What Matters Today: Will the BNPL stocks follow the lithium path?

The ASX200 enjoyed a solid Wednesday in the face of some negative leads as US stocks drifted lower and the local BNPL space was clobbered courtesy of Apple (AAPL US) – more on this later. Under the hood we saw ongoing mean reversion with the likes of Crown (CWN) and HUB24 Ltd (HUB), who both reside in the MM Flagship Growth Portfolio bounce strongly after struggling over the last few weeks i.e. pretty much a continuance of the trend across recent months.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: China looks set to reverse the performance dial

The ASX200 again succumb to the almost magnetic pull of the 7300 level, the index has been rotating around this area within +/- 100-points for over a month but from my perspective it feels even longer! Yesterday saw the market forgo early strong gains to close basically unchanged with the Banking, Energy and Real Estate Sectors weighing on the ASX but the selling was very restrained with only 1 stock falling by over 3% i.e. no change, there are buyers of weakness and sellers of strength but neither appears particularly committed to their cause.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Has China lit the fuse for more global stimulus?

Stocks kicked off the week on a very positive footing following the strong gains in Europe and the US on Friday but it was the sterling performance from the large cap miners that caught my attention e.g. BHP Group (BHP) and Fortescue Metals (FMG) both closed up over +3%. MM has been looking for some weakness in the Resources Sector to increase our exposure but its currently proving to be a long wait!
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Will the Delta Strain ultimately rattle stocks?

The ASX200 continues to bounce around between 7200 and 7400 which considering the economic and social backdrop is an impressive performance in my opinion. The local index has rallied ~28% over the last 9-months yet the very real prospect of a damaging extended lockdown in NSW is being shrugged off by stocks, although both bond and currency markets are taking more notice:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Time to focus as the “Reflation Trade” wobbles

Yesterday saw stocks rally strongly early in the morning only to steadily decline from their mid-morning high as the value stocks reversed early gains to close down on the day – primarily the banks but the resources did close well below their intra-day highs. The bottom line is equities appear to becoming rattled by the worsening COVID picture both locally and overseas and whatever the path that the delta strain and others take - some important market points should be remembered:
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the re-emergence of COVID going to slow down the Retailers?

Yesterday saw the local market rally +0.9% more than recovering the losses on Tuesday, the growth names led the line following US indices overnight who embraced the drift in US bond yields i.e. Tech & Healthcare. The stock and sector rotation continues while the ASX200 remains basically unchanged since the start of June, below are some of the names catching our eye for both good and bad reasons:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Depressed earnings & share price but good assets = gold!

Monday morning should have reminded us all that M&A is alive and well in 2021 as an infrastructure consortium bid $22.6bn for the embattled Sydney Airports (SYD), the 42% premium to Fridays close would have sent a sigh of relief through much of the local investment community who have been major supporters of this classic “yield play” stock since the GFC.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are gold stocks starting to turn?

It already feels like a long week and its only Friday morning, the combination of being in lockdown and EOFY has been exhausting, the market itself is only down -0.6% so it’s certainly not any wild gyrations in stocks draining our energy levels.
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MM remains a very keen buyer of stocks into decent pullbacks
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SKI
MM is bullish SKI seeing ~20% upside
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IPH
MM is mildly bullish IPH around $8
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IWM
MM remains a keen buyer of US stocks into any meaningful weakness
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MM remains bullish WFC targeting the $US50 area
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MM is neutral AFRM around the $US55 area
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SQ2
MM is now neutral APT over the coming weeks / months
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AKE
MM is neutral to bullish ORE around $7
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ZIP
MM is considering reducing our Z1P position across portfolios
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MM remains bullish the ATEC ETF
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: China looks set to reverse the performance dial

The ASX200 again succumb to the almost magnetic pull of the 7300 level, the index has been rotating around this area within +/- 100-points for over a month but from my perspective it feels even longer! Yesterday saw the market forgo early strong gains to close basically unchanged with the Banking, Energy and Real Estate Sectors weighing on the ASX but the selling was very restrained with only 1 stock falling by over 3% i.e. no change, there are buyers of weakness and sellers of strength but neither appears particularly committed to their cause.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Has China lit the fuse for more global stimulus?

Stocks kicked off the week on a very positive footing following the strong gains in Europe and the US on Friday but it was the sterling performance from the large cap miners that caught my attention e.g. BHP Group (BHP) and Fortescue Metals (FMG) both closed up over +3%. MM has been looking for some weakness in the Resources Sector to increase our exposure but its currently proving to be a long wait!

Morning report

Macro Monday: Will the Delta Strain ultimately rattle stocks?

The ASX200 continues to bounce around between 7200 and 7400 which considering the economic and social backdrop is an impressive performance in my opinion. The local index has rallied ~28% over the last 9-months yet the very real prospect of a damaging extended lockdown in NSW is being shrugged off by stocks, although both bond and currency markets are taking more notice:

Morning report

What Matters Today: Time to focus as the “Reflation Trade” wobbles

Yesterday saw stocks rally strongly early in the morning only to steadily decline from their mid-morning high as the value stocks reversed early gains to close down on the day – primarily the banks but the resources did close well below their intra-day highs. The bottom line is equities appear to becoming rattled by the worsening COVID picture both locally and overseas and whatever the path that the delta strain and others take - some important market points should be remembered:

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the re-emergence of COVID going to slow down the Retailers?

Yesterday saw the local market rally +0.9% more than recovering the losses on Tuesday, the growth names led the line following US indices overnight who embraced the drift in US bond yields i.e. Tech & Healthcare. The stock and sector rotation continues while the ASX200 remains basically unchanged since the start of June, below are some of the names catching our eye for both good and bad reasons:

Morning report

What Matters Today: Depressed earnings & share price but good assets = gold!

Monday morning should have reminded us all that M&A is alive and well in 2021 as an infrastructure consortium bid $22.6bn for the embattled Sydney Airports (SYD), the 42% premium to Fridays close would have sent a sigh of relief through much of the local investment community who have been major supporters of this classic “yield play” stock since the GFC.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Are gold stocks starting to turn?

It already feels like a long week and its only Friday morning, the combination of being in lockdown and EOFY has been exhausting, the market itself is only down -0.6% so it’s certainly not any wild gyrations in stocks draining our energy levels.

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