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Morning report

Macro Monday: US rate cuts look unlikely just as the RBA is set to move

The US jobs data released on Friday showed that the US labour market remains strong, increasing the odds that the Fed will remain patient on interest rate cuts. The more President Donald Trump threatens tariffs on the US’s trading partners, the more worry another inflation wave troubles global economists.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The tariff saga enters a new chapter as China enters the fray

The news out of the Whitehouse is crossing our screens at unprecedented speed, and traders are dancing accordingly. With Chinas 15% tariff having “Trumped” the US President’s 10% move, we have to think, what next. We’re sure Trump wont sit back and do nothing. Yesterday morning felt like Trumps “Art of the Deal” had brought global markets back from the brink of a Trade War but China will prove a far tougher adversary, as we’ve already seen by their retaliation as opposed to acquiescence. However, after two volatile nights of US trade, earnings season remains more important to markets, at least for now.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How to invest through Trade War uncertainty

The ASX200 was hit hard on Monday as tariffs towards Canada, Mexico and China came into play. The U.S. previously enjoyed about $US1.6 trillion in business with the three countries leading investors to question the potential impact on economic growth and corporate profits.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: A Trade War could bring with it great opportunity

Much of early last week was focused on Chinese AI startup DeepSeek which launched a free, open-source large-language model in late December, claiming it was developed in just two months at the cost of under $6 million. According to market tracker App Figures data, the DeepSeek mobile app was downloaded 1.6 million times by Jan. 25th and ranked No. 1 in iPhone app stores in Australia, Canada, China, Singapore, the US, and the UK.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Three of our favourite ASX tech stocks as volatility hits the US sector

The ASX200 posted a new high on Thursday, albeit only by one point, before surrendering some of its early gains to finish up +0.55%, its highest close since December 3rd. Overall, this was a very encouraging result for the bulls as traders digested the Fed’s rhetoric suggesting a long pause on rates and earnings results from a trio of the "magnificent seven" tech giants.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Four yield stocks we like with the RBA set to cut rates

The ASX200 rallied strongly on Wednesday, spurred on by a softer-than-expected inflation print at 11.30 a.m, the market-friendly read led to broad-based gains. The rate-sensitive Utilities and Real Estate sectors enjoyed strong moves, ably supported by a bounce by tech names following Tuesday's DeepSeek-inspired panic sell-off.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Chinese startup DeepSeek shakes up US Big Tech AI dominance

DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has launched breakthrough AI models that offer comparable performance to the world's best chatbots at a fraction of the cost. The Hangzhou-based company, which was only launched in 2023, created a free, open-source large-language model in late December, claiming it was developed in just two months at the cost of under $6 million.
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MM is cautiously bullish toward the ASX200
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IVV
MM is now neutral towards US stock’s short-term
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MM is cautiously bullish towards the FTSE
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IZZ
MM is bullish on Chinese stocks
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MM is looking for the RBA and BOE cash rates to move below 4% in 2025
MM is cautiously bullish on US Bonds (yields lower)
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MM remains bullish gold medium-term
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MM is cautiously bullish about iron ore
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MM is bullish towards copper medium-term
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MM is now neutral on the $A
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MM is neutral towards the British Pound
IZZ
Buy the ASX-listed IZZ ETF around $51.50 with stops below $48.
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MM is neutral on the Magnificent Seven short-term

Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The tariff saga enters a new chapter as China enters the fray

The news out of the Whitehouse is crossing our screens at unprecedented speed, and traders are dancing accordingly. With Chinas 15% tariff having “Trumped” the US President’s 10% move, we have to think, what next. We’re sure Trump wont sit back and do nothing. Yesterday morning felt like Trumps “Art of the Deal” had brought global markets back from the brink of a Trade War but China will prove a far tougher adversary, as we’ve already seen by their retaliation as opposed to acquiescence. However, after two volatile nights of US trade, earnings season remains more important to markets, at least for now.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: How to invest through Trade War uncertainty

The ASX200 was hit hard on Monday as tariffs towards Canada, Mexico and China came into play. The U.S. previously enjoyed about $US1.6 trillion in business with the three countries leading investors to question the potential impact on economic growth and corporate profits.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: A Trade War could bring with it great opportunity

Much of early last week was focused on Chinese AI startup DeepSeek which launched a free, open-source large-language model in late December, claiming it was developed in just two months at the cost of under $6 million. According to market tracker App Figures data, the DeepSeek mobile app was downloaded 1.6 million times by Jan. 25th and ranked No. 1 in iPhone app stores in Australia, Canada, China, Singapore, the US, and the UK.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Three of our favourite ASX tech stocks as volatility hits the US sector

The ASX200 posted a new high on Thursday, albeit only by one point, before surrendering some of its early gains to finish up +0.55%, its highest close since December 3rd. Overall, this was a very encouraging result for the bulls as traders digested the Fed’s rhetoric suggesting a long pause on rates and earnings results from a trio of the "magnificent seven" tech giants.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Four yield stocks we like with the RBA set to cut rates

The ASX200 rallied strongly on Wednesday, spurred on by a softer-than-expected inflation print at 11.30 a.m, the market-friendly read led to broad-based gains. The rate-sensitive Utilities and Real Estate sectors enjoyed strong moves, ably supported by a bounce by tech names following Tuesday's DeepSeek-inspired panic sell-off.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Markets calm after their second take on DeepSeek

The ASX200 slipped -0.1% on Tuesday, a solid performance considering the market turmoil created by DeepSeek's dramatic emergence. The new Chinese AI player has challenged many people's belief that the “Magnificent Seven” would dominate AI for years to come.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Chinese startup DeepSeek shakes up US Big Tech AI dominance

DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, has launched breakthrough AI models that offer comparable performance to the world's best chatbots at a fraction of the cost. The Hangzhou-based company, which was only launched in 2023, created a free, open-source large-language model in late December, claiming it was developed in just two months at the cost of under $6 million.

what matters today Market Matters
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