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Morning report

Macro Monday: only 33-days until Christmas, is a rally coming?

Many global stocks continue to hover just below recently posted all-time highs e.g. S&P500 0.4%, UK FTSE 2.4%, German DAX 0.8% while the ASX200 is set to open this morning 3.7% below its August high. You have to cast your eyes across Asia before you find markets that make us look good from a comparative performance perspective but when you look under the hood of the ASX200 its easy to comprehend why we’ve struggled against some of our western peers i.e. over the last few months we’ve seen market heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), Westpac (WBC)...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Tesla our favourite car maker?

The ASX200 managed to bounce yesterday even after a negative lead from Wall Street and ongoing weakness from the local Banking Sector with CBA already 11.5% below last weeks high, another 5% and it will become interesting to MM. There were no particular standouts on the sector front and only 3 stocks moved by over 5%, the market still remains comfortable in its 7300 – 7480 trading range and while our preference is a breakout to the upside it has been a touch frustrating how the ASX has ignored...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are supply chain uncertainties creating opportunities?

The ASX200 was clobbered 50-points yesterday courtesy of a disappointing result from CBA which plunged over 8% taking a whopping 45-points off the index all on its own – more on this later. The impact of a weak Banking Sector on the ASX was illustrated perfectly by the markets 0.68% decline even when 65% of stocks closed up on the day.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA remains convinced rate hikes won’t be until 2023/24

The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM like the latest plays by big hitter George Soros?

On Monday the ASX200 tried and failed yet again to break through the 7480 barrier, perhaps it will be 8th time lucky. By lunchtime yesterday it actually felt like the local market was going to break out above its October / November high but the buyers aggressive morning appetite faded after lunch although we still managed to close within 10-points of MM’s technical breakout level. We are mid-way through November and its range is less than half of the monthly average through 2021 which implies a break above 7480...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The ASX is like a fashion statement, if you’re in you’re in!!

The ASX200 saw some standout sector reversion yesterday plus some rare selling in the futures market following weak local employment data, ultimately we saw the index fall 0.57% as the broad based selling led to almost 70% of the index close in the red. The iron ore stocks offered some rare strength to the index while weakness was noticeably endured in the Healthcare, Energy and IT Sectors. The choppy price action continues with the index trading in an almost 100-point range on Thursday before closing almost smack bang in the middle of the day’s action while sectors that have been...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we throw in the towel with iron ore?

The ASX200 again succumbed to selling into early morning strength as we followed US S&P500 futures lower throughout the day, considering their 0.4% decline by 4pm AEST a small 0.1% dip by the local market was fairly encouraging, especially as iron ore plunged almost 8% at one stage weighing on both sentiment and related stocks. Fortunately from an index perspective the influential banks were strong and 40% of the market still managed to close in positive territory. The markets look and feel remains the same which is no surprise considering the ASX remains unchanged...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX struggles to keep pace with its peers

The ASX200 faded away yesterday following a common path over recent weeks, every time the ASX200 knocks on the 7475 door it gets sold off, no longer surprising or new – at yesterdays close the local index had only bounced 4% from its October low compared to the US S&P500’s impressive 10% rally to fresh highs. The US feels like it’s now due a rest posing the question can we buck any weakness after ignoring the strength, it does happen sometimes. The problem was 2-fold yesterday:
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will everybody want an electric car (EV) sooner rather than later?

The ASX200 again faltered at the 7475 level yesterday, from a technical perspective the pictures getting clearer by the day – when / if the ASX200 closes above 7475 it’s a great buy targeting fresh highs with stops under 7440, excellent risk / reward for the trader. However at MM we are “Active Investors” and as such we’re more focused staying fully committed to stocks until we lose our bullish stance and advocate moving further down the risk curve. The price action yesterday felt more like a lack of buying into strength as opposed to meaningful selling as a number of stocks, courtesy of low volumes, swung around in a fairly exaggerated manner for a day when the index fell less than 0.1%:
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MM remains bullish Australian equities targeting the 7700 – 7800 area into Christmas
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IVV
MM remains mildly bullish US equities
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MM’s remains bullish US tech short-term
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MM is mildly bullish Australian bond yields from current levels through 2022/3
MM would be a buyer weakness in bond yields
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USD
MM’s is now neutral to bearish the $US into 2022
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MM’s remains neutral the $A short-term
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MM remains bullish copper into 2022
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MM is bullish nickel short-term
MM is neutral to bullish Bitcoin under 60,000
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MM is bullish sliver
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is Tesla our favourite car maker?

The ASX200 managed to bounce yesterday even after a negative lead from Wall Street and ongoing weakness from the local Banking Sector with CBA already 11.5% below last weeks high, another 5% and it will become interesting to MM. There were no particular standouts on the sector front and only 3 stocks moved by over 5%, the market still remains comfortable in its 7300 – 7480 trading range and while our preference is a breakout to the upside it has been a touch frustrating how the ASX has ignored...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Are supply chain uncertainties creating opportunities?

The ASX200 was clobbered 50-points yesterday courtesy of a disappointing result from CBA which plunged over 8% taking a whopping 45-points off the index all on its own – more on this later. The impact of a weak Banking Sector on the ASX was illustrated perfectly by the markets 0.68% decline even when 65% of stocks closed up on the day.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA remains convinced rate hikes won’t be until 2023/24

The ASX200 succumbed to broad based selling on Tuesday, only the IT Sector managed to close in positive territory while the resources led the declines - the stock and sector rotation continues almost day to day, anybody attempting to identify a clear trend looks destined for disappointment. As we often say the market will be there tomorrow and it usually tells us where it wants to go hence be patient and don’t force an opinion too firmly on this market while its treading water i.e. MM is still bullish while being conscious...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Does MM like the latest plays by big hitter George Soros?

On Monday the ASX200 tried and failed yet again to break through the 7480 barrier, perhaps it will be 8th time lucky. By lunchtime yesterday it actually felt like the local market was going to break out above its October / November high but the buyers aggressive morning appetite faded after lunch although we still managed to close within 10-points of MM’s technical breakout level. We are mid-way through November and its range is less than half of the monthly average through 2021 which implies a break above 7480...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Equities are running their own race – for now

Global stocks are hovering around their all-time highs impressively ignoring a sharp move higher by inflation and subsequent surge in global bond yields, most subscribers probably have a handle on the numbers by now:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The ASX is like a fashion statement, if you’re in you’re in!!

The ASX200 saw some standout sector reversion yesterday plus some rare selling in the futures market following weak local employment data, ultimately we saw the index fall 0.57% as the broad based selling led to almost 70% of the index close in the red. The iron ore stocks offered some rare strength to the index while weakness was noticeably endured in the Healthcare, Energy and IT Sectors. The choppy price action continues with the index trading in an almost 100-point range on Thursday before closing almost smack bang in the middle of the day’s action while sectors that have been...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we throw in the towel with iron ore?

The ASX200 again succumbed to selling into early morning strength as we followed US S&P500 futures lower throughout the day, considering their 0.4% decline by 4pm AEST a small 0.1% dip by the local market was fairly encouraging, especially as iron ore plunged almost 8% at one stage weighing on both sentiment and related stocks. Fortunately from an index perspective the influential banks were strong and 40% of the market still managed to close in positive territory. The markets look and feel remains the same which is no surprise considering the ASX remains unchanged...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX struggles to keep pace with its peers

The ASX200 faded away yesterday following a common path over recent weeks, every time the ASX200 knocks on the 7475 door it gets sold off, no longer surprising or new – at yesterdays close the local index had only bounced 4% from its October low compared to the US S&P500’s impressive 10% rally to fresh highs. The US feels like it’s now due a rest posing the question can we buck any weakness after ignoring the strength, it does happen sometimes. The problem was 2-fold yesterday:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Will everybody want an electric car (EV) sooner rather than later?

The ASX200 again faltered at the 7475 level yesterday, from a technical perspective the pictures getting clearer by the day – when / if the ASX200 closes above 7475 it’s a great buy targeting fresh highs with stops under 7440, excellent risk / reward for the trader. However at MM we are “Active Investors” and as such we’re more focused staying fully committed to stocks until we lose our bullish stance and advocate moving further down the risk curve. The price action yesterday felt more like a lack of buying into strength as opposed to meaningful selling as a number of stocks, courtesy of low volumes, swung around in a fairly exaggerated manner for a day when the index fell less than 0.1%:

what matters today Market Matters
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