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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Be careful taking the easy option during reporting season

The ASX200 continued its quiet start to the week finally closing up +0.2% with the action remaining firmly under the hood with 11 stocks rallying by +4%, or more, while 5 names fell by the same degree. High volatility through reporting season is nothing unusual with investors delivering 2 very clear and different messages to corporate Australia:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 ways to play the Energy Sector following its 22% correction

The ASX200 fought hard to bounce yesterday finally closing up +0.4% with over 60% of stocks closing in positive territory. The interest rate sensitive sectors largely outperformed with IT and Real Estate catching my eye but the more interesting action was on the stock level with 13 stocks rallying by over 4% while 10 names fell by the same degree. Overall this volatility on the company level appears reflective of both reporting season and the “twitchy” nature with which investors are reacting to corporate news as the market remains close to its all-time high.
Read more
Morning report

Macro Monday: Resources tumble as the $US & China apply the pressure

The ASX200 endured a rare fall last week with the heavyweight Resources and Banks inflicting the damage, interestingly under the hood the stock and sector performance was very mixed with a number of shining lights from some less influential stocks. There was some eye catching declines by many major names from within the Value Sector which created a meaningful headwind for the local index, arguably the ASX fought well to only drop -2.2%:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: The time for action is nigh

The ASX200 fell another -0.5% yesterday even with the number of winners & losers evenly balanced, however the influential Resources Sector was again smashed with heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), RIO Tinto (RIO), Independence Group (IGO) and Fortescue Metals (FMG) all falling by over 5%. Iron Ore and copper were down heavily during our time zone and not surprisingly this flowed into aggressive selling across ASX related stocks.
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is BHP Group (BHP) still the “go to” in Australian Resources?

The ASX200 opened lower yesterday but the “buy the dip” phenomenon that’s been prevalent post the initial coronavirus breakout played out through the morning, early losses turned into gains before the index drifted into 4pm, we ultimately closed down just 0.1% - its hard to argue with the bulls when they cite a mass of liquidity (money) sitting on the sidelines looking to accumulate / buy stocks into weakness. Wednesdays strength was broad based with well over 60% of stocks rallying and if it hadn’t been for a -7% drop in BHP, wiping 33-points from the index, we would have recovered half of Tuesdays aggressive down day.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: COVID’s unsettling markets albeit around all-time highs

The ASX200 experienced it’s worst day in 2 months yesterday finally closing down 71-points as the banks and resources again fell as confidence continues to wane towards the global economy. The RBA echoed the markets concern that the Delta Variant might push Australia back into a recession as they considered further stimulus during their August board meeting– “The board would be prepared...
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Our favorite 3 lithium plays

The ASX200 struggled yesterday as the two most influential sectors fell in tandem, Bendigo Bank (BEN) -9.9% led the Banking Sector lower while OZ Minerals (OZL) -3.9% took line honours for the major miners. The index itself fell only -0.6% although the selling felt more aggressive with 11 companies falling by over 4% while only one rallied by the same degree. . A couple of stocks which we hold in our Growth Portfolio and are hoping to add into weakness were on the ...
Read more
Morning report

Macro Monday: Don’t fight this bull market just yet

The ASX200 continues to rise on a wave of strong corporate earnings, record low interest rates plus of course an almost tsunami of cash looking for some semblance of a decent return in todays challenging world. There are clear signs that investors are migrating up the risk curve looking to add value / alpha but it definitely doesn’t feel like panic buying leading to a classic “blow-off top”. I would describe the markets “look & feel” more that of a simple absence of sellers, which by definition forms...
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: Insurance stocks are “shooting the lights out”

The local market struggled to hold onto early gains yesterday as profit taking hit Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and the IT Sector, it felt like a weak day although we still managed to close marginally higher. Stock rotation was prevalent within the ASX200 yesterday as 15 stocks rallied by 3% or more, while 6 companies fell by the same degree, as we’ve flagged in a number of reports MM believes this will be opus operandi into Christmas, and probably well into 2022. Elsewhere across Asia, equities were on the back foot illustrating...
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Morning report

What Matters Today : 6 ASX examples of “fade” the pop and BUY the dip

The ASX200 continues to grind higher, we might often be closing well under the intra-day high but before we know it the index has again pushed through to post new all-time highs. On a day to day perspective this rally feels slow and steady, almost like 3 steps forward and 2 back, but when you stand back and look at the monthly chart of the local market its resembling a vertical line which could easily defy the bears and test 8,000 in the next 6-months...
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MM remains bullish the ASX and keen buyers of pullbacks
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NWH
MM prefers NWH over MND
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NHF
MM prefers IAG in the Insurance Sector
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BOQ
MM is a keen buyer of BOQ ~$8.50
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IVV
MM is neutral the S&P500 short-term
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MM is bullish crude oil into Christmas
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MM is positive the new WBC hybrid
ASB
MM remain positive ASB despite the market reaction to their result
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EML
MM remains bullish EML
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In the near future MM is looking to switch between the local ETF’s ATEC and FUEL
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: 3 ways to play the Energy Sector following its 22% correction

The ASX200 fought hard to bounce yesterday finally closing up +0.4% with over 60% of stocks closing in positive territory. The interest rate sensitive sectors largely outperformed with IT and Real Estate catching my eye but the more interesting action was on the stock level with 13 stocks rallying by over 4% while 10 names fell by the same degree. Overall this volatility on the company level appears reflective of both reporting season and the “twitchy” nature with which investors are reacting to corporate news as the market remains close to its all-time high.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Resources tumble as the $US & China apply the pressure

The ASX200 endured a rare fall last week with the heavyweight Resources and Banks inflicting the damage, interestingly under the hood the stock and sector performance was very mixed with a number of shining lights from some less influential stocks. There was some eye catching declines by many major names from within the Value Sector which created a meaningful headwind for the local index, arguably the ASX fought well to only drop -2.2%:

Morning report

What Matters Today: The time for action is nigh

The ASX200 fell another -0.5% yesterday even with the number of winners & losers evenly balanced, however the influential Resources Sector was again smashed with heavyweights BHP Group (BHP), RIO Tinto (RIO), Independence Group (IGO) and Fortescue Metals (FMG) all falling by over 5%. Iron Ore and copper were down heavily during our time zone and not surprisingly this flowed into aggressive selling across ASX related stocks.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is BHP Group (BHP) still the “go to” in Australian Resources?

The ASX200 opened lower yesterday but the “buy the dip” phenomenon that’s been prevalent post the initial coronavirus breakout played out through the morning, early losses turned into gains before the index drifted into 4pm, we ultimately closed down just 0.1% - its hard to argue with the bulls when they cite a mass of liquidity (money) sitting on the sidelines looking to accumulate / buy stocks into weakness. Wednesdays strength was broad based with well over 60% of stocks rallying and if it hadn’t been for a -7% drop in BHP, wiping 33-points from the index, we would have recovered half of Tuesdays aggressive down day.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: COVID’s unsettling markets albeit around all-time highs

The ASX200 experienced it’s worst day in 2 months yesterday finally closing down 71-points as the banks and resources again fell as confidence continues to wane towards the global economy. The RBA echoed the markets concern that the Delta Variant might push Australia back into a recession as they considered further stimulus during their August board meeting– “The board would be prepared...

Morning report

What Matters Today: Our favorite 3 lithium plays

The ASX200 struggled yesterday as the two most influential sectors fell in tandem, Bendigo Bank (BEN) -9.9% led the Banking Sector lower while OZ Minerals (OZL) -3.9% took line honours for the major miners. The index itself fell only -0.6% although the selling felt more aggressive with 11 companies falling by over 4% while only one rallied by the same degree. . A couple of stocks which we hold in our Growth Portfolio and are hoping to add into weakness were on the ...

Morning report

Macro Monday: Don’t fight this bull market just yet

The ASX200 continues to rise on a wave of strong corporate earnings, record low interest rates plus of course an almost tsunami of cash looking for some semblance of a decent return in todays challenging world. There are clear signs that investors are migrating up the risk curve looking to add value / alpha but it definitely doesn’t feel like panic buying leading to a classic “blow-off top”. I would describe the markets “look & feel” more that of a simple absence of sellers, which by definition forms...

Morning report

What Matters Today: Insurance stocks are “shooting the lights out”

The local market struggled to hold onto early gains yesterday as profit taking hit Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and the IT Sector, it felt like a weak day although we still managed to close marginally higher. Stock rotation was prevalent within the ASX200 yesterday as 15 stocks rallied by 3% or more, while 6 companies fell by the same degree, as we’ve flagged in a number of reports MM believes this will be opus operandi into Christmas, and probably well into 2022. Elsewhere across Asia, equities were on the back foot illustrating...

Morning report

What Matters Today : 6 ASX examples of “fade” the pop and BUY the dip

The ASX200 continues to grind higher, we might often be closing well under the intra-day high but before we know it the index has again pushed through to post new all-time highs. On a day to day perspective this rally feels slow and steady, almost like 3 steps forward and 2 back, but when you stand back and look at the monthly chart of the local market its resembling a vertical line which could easily defy the bears and test 8,000 in the next 6-months...

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