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Morning report

Macro Monday: People are reacting to Omicron, not the government

From an investment perspective we’re living through fascinating times although I’m sure everybody would prefer the huge elephant in the room, COVID and its variants, would vanish as fast as it arrived. The Spanish flu which infected around one third of the world’s population only lasted around 2-years before history suggests the virus mutated itself down a path of weaker and weaker strains plus we saw a degree of heard immunity. Potentially the combination of vaccines and lockdown could result in us stretching out the COVID...
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Will copper stocks follow nickel as targets for suitors?

Thursday saw much of the ASX200 embrace the overnight statement from the Fed but when CSL Ltd (CSL), the markets 3rd largest stock, plunges over 8% its always going to be a tough day at the office for the Australian market. However we still expected a little more from the local bourse but as MM touched on yesterday when investors are asked to stump up for $6.3bn in just 24-hours some inevitable selling will roll through other pockets of the market - yesterday it clearly wasn’t limited to healthcare names. The market would have managed a positive close if it hadn’t been for CSL and interestingly most other stocks in the sector closed up, it felt to us that any...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we lighten healthcare due to CSL’s huge raise?

The ASX200 was clobbered 0.7% yesterday as it was unable to withstand the “Fed Jitters” – nobody’s questioning whether interest rates are headed higher both in Australia and the US but markets have become fixated with the potential speed of such hikes which will challenge many high valuation stocks and sectors. Hence it was no surprise that the IT Sector was worst on ground yesterday falling 2.6% in a session when only the Utilities stocks managed to advance. The logic is simple to comprehend...
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The 7400 magnet maintains control for now

Yesterday saw the Australian market recover strongly from a 0.5% dip early in the session but the stocks again lacked the strength to forge ahead into positive territory, the market ultimately closed down less than 1-point – as we’ve said before “The song remains the same” with investors happy to buy dips but sellers emerging into strength as the ASX200 continues to rotate around the 7400 area which it first reached back in mid-June, now around 6-months ago.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: More portfolio tweaks MM are considering into Christmas

The ASX200 rallied 0.35% on Monday which was a reasonable effort considering the Banking Sector closed in the red although heavyweight CBA did manage to finish marginally higher. At both midday and 4pm I felt the market was off and running for its annual Christmas Rally but alas aggressive selling in the futures market after 4pm led to a very poor match which saw local stocks lose almost half of the day’s gains in one fell swoop, looking at US stocks overnight it looks like somebody,,,
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Inline US Inflation print is a relief for stocks

Omicron undoubtedly hasn’t gone away but equities have moved their focus elsewhere, at least for now. The headlines for the variant have remained mixed however international and state governments are forging ahead with their reopening plans with renewed vigour e.g. Queensland’s borders finally opened to NSW and Victoria this morning while Dan Andrews is actually opening the Garden State to visitors from South Africa without the need for quarantine!
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 of the best ASX200 stocks of 2021 might surprise you!

The ASX200 took a breather on Thursday after an explosive few days, the market ultimately closed down 0.3% after some late selling in the SPI futures dragged the index into the red but overall it felt like a nothing day with only 54% of stocks closing down. We saw some mixed news towards the Omicron variant but it really felt like investors simply just took a rest after advancing all week:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Checking on our underperformers with Christmas cheer in the air!

The ASX200 roared higher on Wednesday, “hump day” to many but traders often refer to it as “drive day” as the market finally decides where it’s headed, this time the market enjoyed broad based buying with over 80% of stocks closing in positive territory, the index scaled fresh 3-week highs as Omicron fears seemed to vanish almost as fast as they arrived. The 1.25% gain took the local market within 3% of its all-time high only a few weeks after the doom and gloom merchants were focusing on either bond yields or Omicron. I feel...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Its starting to feel like a Christmas Rally!

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally strongly finally closing up just shy of 1% on broad based buying with strong gains enjoyed by most pockets of the market, however the standout performances largely came from stocks who were whacked in previous sessions around Omicron fears, as we’ve said over recent days the new variant emanating from South Africa doesn’t appear to be an economic or health game changer, the RBA concurs with our feeling here believing the Omicron variant is a source of uncertainty but no major risk to our economy. Overall the Australian central...
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing 4 stocks picked in yesterday’s webinar

The ASX200 fought hard yesterday to close marginally higher in the face of some aggressive selling across the tech space, it felt like many investors / traders who were long high valuation growth names decided to take a hint from Bitcoins 25% plunge over the weekend i.e. if in doubt get out! The were a number of prominent losers in these high Beta names including Zip (Z1P) -10.1%, HUB24 (HUB) -4.4%, Allkem (AKE) -7.2% (which is the old Orecobre), Kogan.com (KGN) -6.6%, Appen (APX) -5.4% and Afterpay...
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MM remains cautiously bullish the ASX
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US stocks look like a buy into another leg lower
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IEU
MM is a keen buyer of European indices around 6% lower
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MM believes local bond yields will go quiet into Q1 of 2022
MM expects UK Gilt yields to rally later in 2022
USD
MM’s remains neutral to bearish the $US into 2022
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MM’s remains bullish the Pound as it drifts lower
MM likes precious metals into 2022
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MM is looking for another 10-15% upside from iron ore
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MM is neutral Bitcoin under 50,000
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MM is bullish equities into 2022

Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Will copper stocks follow nickel as targets for suitors?

Thursday saw much of the ASX200 embrace the overnight statement from the Fed but when CSL Ltd (CSL), the markets 3rd largest stock, plunges over 8% its always going to be a tough day at the office for the Australian market. However we still expected a little more from the local bourse but as MM touched on yesterday when investors are asked to stump up for $6.3bn in just 24-hours some inevitable selling will roll through other pockets of the market - yesterday it clearly wasn’t limited to healthcare names. The market would have managed a positive close if it hadn’t been for CSL and interestingly most other stocks in the sector closed up, it felt to us that any...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we lighten healthcare due to CSL’s huge raise?

The ASX200 was clobbered 0.7% yesterday as it was unable to withstand the “Fed Jitters” – nobody’s questioning whether interest rates are headed higher both in Australia and the US but markets have become fixated with the potential speed of such hikes which will challenge many high valuation stocks and sectors. Hence it was no surprise that the IT Sector was worst on ground yesterday falling 2.6% in a session when only the Utilities stocks managed to advance. The logic is simple to comprehend...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The 7400 magnet maintains control for now

Yesterday saw the Australian market recover strongly from a 0.5% dip early in the session but the stocks again lacked the strength to forge ahead into positive territory, the market ultimately closed down less than 1-point – as we’ve said before “The song remains the same” with investors happy to buy dips but sellers emerging into strength as the ASX200 continues to rotate around the 7400 area which it first reached back in mid-June, now around 6-months ago.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: More portfolio tweaks MM are considering into Christmas

The ASX200 rallied 0.35% on Monday which was a reasonable effort considering the Banking Sector closed in the red although heavyweight CBA did manage to finish marginally higher. At both midday and 4pm I felt the market was off and running for its annual Christmas Rally but alas aggressive selling in the futures market after 4pm led to a very poor match which saw local stocks lose almost half of the day’s gains in one fell swoop, looking at US stocks overnight it looks like somebody,,,

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Inline US Inflation print is a relief for stocks

Omicron undoubtedly hasn’t gone away but equities have moved their focus elsewhere, at least for now. The headlines for the variant have remained mixed however international and state governments are forging ahead with their reopening plans with renewed vigour e.g. Queensland’s borders finally opened to NSW and Victoria this morning while Dan Andrews is actually opening the Garden State to visitors from South Africa without the need for quarantine!

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 of the best ASX200 stocks of 2021 might surprise you!

The ASX200 took a breather on Thursday after an explosive few days, the market ultimately closed down 0.3% after some late selling in the SPI futures dragged the index into the red but overall it felt like a nothing day with only 54% of stocks closing down. We saw some mixed news towards the Omicron variant but it really felt like investors simply just took a rest after advancing all week:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Checking on our underperformers with Christmas cheer in the air!

The ASX200 roared higher on Wednesday, “hump day” to many but traders often refer to it as “drive day” as the market finally decides where it’s headed, this time the market enjoyed broad based buying with over 80% of stocks closing in positive territory, the index scaled fresh 3-week highs as Omicron fears seemed to vanish almost as fast as they arrived. The 1.25% gain took the local market within 3% of its all-time high only a few weeks after the doom and gloom merchants were focusing on either bond yields or Omicron. I feel...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Its starting to feel like a Christmas Rally!

Tuesday saw the ASX200 rally strongly finally closing up just shy of 1% on broad based buying with strong gains enjoyed by most pockets of the market, however the standout performances largely came from stocks who were whacked in previous sessions around Omicron fears, as we’ve said over recent days the new variant emanating from South Africa doesn’t appear to be an economic or health game changer, the RBA concurs with our feeling here believing the Omicron variant is a source of uncertainty but no major risk to our economy. Overall the Australian central...

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing 4 stocks picked in yesterday’s webinar

The ASX200 fought hard yesterday to close marginally higher in the face of some aggressive selling across the tech space, it felt like many investors / traders who were long high valuation growth names decided to take a hint from Bitcoins 25% plunge over the weekend i.e. if in doubt get out! The were a number of prominent losers in these high Beta names including Zip (Z1P) -10.1%, HUB24 (HUB) -4.4%, Allkem (AKE) -7.2% (which is the old Orecobre), Kogan.com (KGN) -6.6%, Appen (APX) -5.4% and Afterpay...

what matters today Market Matters
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