What Matters Today: Middle East uncertainty outweighs two Fed cuts in 2025

Wednesday saw the ASX200 close down 0.1% after rotating in another tight 0.4% range as the market remains in its “Middle East Conflict” holding pattern. The losers slightly beat the winners, with only two stocks moving by over 5%, illustrating the lacklustre nature of the day. At the sector level, weakness in the resources sector more than offset gains in tech, which we will examine later today

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Afternoon report 18/02/2026 17:12

The Match Out: ASX 200 breaks back through 9000, Tech & Property rally

The ASX pushed higher for a third straight session, with financials and technology doing the heavy lifting as reporting season continued to deliver outsized single-stock moves.

Morning report 18/02/2026 09:49

Portfolio Positioning: CBA last week, BHP yesterday, will things happen in threes?

The ASX200 surrendered much of its early gains on Tuesday but still ended the day up 0.2%. We almost felt like a one-stock index at times yesterday with BHP at one stage popping above $54, up more than 7%, for the first time. Even with the “Big Australian” closing back under $53, up +4.7% on the day, it still added 40-points to the ASX200, basically double its net gain on the day

Afternoon report 17/02/2026 17:15

The Match Out: BHP underpins ASX strength as reporting heats up

The ASX pushed higher in subdued trade, with BHP stealing the spotlight after a better-than-expected first-half result. Materials led the gains though it was all thanks the Big Australian’s performance, with weakness across the broader sector as commodities softened. Elsewhere, tech remained volatile, retailers were mixed and several reporting names were sharply repriced as the market continued its familiar reporting-season volatility.

Morning report 17/02/2026 09:50

What Matters Today: Are ASX Utilities stocks winners in the age of AI?

Monday saw the ASX200 experience a choppy day, which came as no surprise, with Chinese markets closed for the Lunar New Year and the US closed overnight for Presidents Day - it’s the year of the horse in China, which has a bullish feel to it, being associated with energy, independence and drive.

Afternoon report 16/02/2026 17:21

The Match Out: Tech rebounds, miners slide as ASX crawls higher

The ASX edged higher in a choppy session, with technology rebounding strongly, helping offset heavy selling across the mining giants and some profit-taking in the banks. With US markets closed for a public holiday tonight and China shut for Lunar New Year, local earnings season and bargain hunting dominated the tape, leaving the market grinding higher but lacking clear direction.

Morning report 16/02/2026 09:42

Macro Monday: The AI revolution is redefining financial markets

AI is increasingly impacting stocks and financial markets as a whole. Recent weeks have seen capitulation-style selling wash through some sectors, with investors fearing AI disruption is rewriting business models.

Weekend report 14/02/2026 10:42

Weekend Q&A: Volatility continues to surge on the stock & sector level

It didn’t feel like it on Friday afternoon as the ASX200 plunged more than 125 points, but the index still managed to finish last week up +2.4% after one of the most violent weeks of reporting season we can remember - 10% swings in either direction were almost pedestrian! The heavyweight banks and resources offset broad market weakness, led by any stocks feared to be at risk of AI disruption, with selling gathering momentum from already panic-like levels. The dominant themes were very binary in nature:

Afternoon report 13/02/2026 17:46

The Match Out: ASX falls 1.4%, but ends week higher; Tech, Discretionary Retail hit hard

The ASX pulled back sharply today as AI-related margin fears continued to drive aggressive selling across software and high-multiple names. Despite the weak finish, the market still closed the week up ~2.4%, underpinned by a fantastic week from the banks on better-than-expected results.

Morning report 13/02/2026 09:50

ETF Friday: Are ETFs the way to invest for a bottom in the software sector?

The ASX 200 tested its all-time high at lunchtime yesterday before peeling away to close up just +0.3% as the dramatic polarisation across the ASX continues in earnest - already in 2026, we’ve witnessed the Tech Sector hammered by over -20% while the Materials have gained more than +12%, compounding the dramatic rotation through FY26. It's becoming almost monotonous to quote how far the major tech names have fallen day to day. However, it's hard to ignore; it felt like capitulation on Thursday, but there's already been a few chapters in that particular scary book - on the day, SiteMinder (SDR) -12.9%, Xero (XRO) -8.4%, Life360 (360) -8.3%, and Technology One (TNE) -6.9%.

Afternoon report 12/02/2026 18:09

The Match Out: ASX lifts as Banks surge in back to back sessions

The ASX pushed higher for a second straight session, flirting with fresh record highs at the 9100 level as bank earnings momentum continued to drive the index. ANZ stole the show with its best day in six years after delivering a standout quarterly profit result, and the broader financials complex stayed well bid, compounding Commonwealth Bank’s strong result yesterday.