The ASX200 reversed early gains on Thursday to close marginally in the red as weakness in the influential Resources Sector more than offset ongoing strength from both the tech and banking stocks. The last few years have seen major stock & sector rotation within the ASX depending on the macro events in focus at the time, since mid-June its been all about bond yields correcting as central banks ease off their hawkish rhetoric while the risk of a recession in 2023 has been increasingly factored into the market, the moves over the last 7-weeks tells a clear tale:
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Trade Alerts – Various Portfolios
MM is making a number of changes across portfolios.Portfolio Positioning: Reporting seasons sorting the “wheat from the chaff”
Yesterday we said that it was unlikely the ASX200 could breach the psychological 7100 area before CBA trades ex-dividend this morning but we didn’t count on BHP hitting the ball out of the park with its FY’22 result – Tuesday saw the index rally 41-points to close at 7105 with BHP contributing almost 60% of the market’s advance. However, Commonwealth Bank (CBA) will trade ex-dividend this morning, $2.10 fully franked, which if all else is equal is like to take the market back towards 7050 in a quick fashion.The Match Out: ASX hits 2-month high, BHP delivers 2nd best result ever
A strong open to trade this morning with the market buoyed by a very positive update from BHP, however, the best of it was seen early before a few sellers crept out of the shadows mid-morning. Stepping back for a moment, the ASX 200 peaked at 7624 on the 20TH April, coincidentally on my 40th birthday, before falling 1217 points / 16% to 6407 on the 20th of June - hopefully not a broader omen on life! From that low, the market has rallied 724pts...What Matters Today: The property stocks appear to be regaining their “Mojo”, is it time to buy?
The ASX200 knocked on the door of its August high yesterday before finally closing up +0.45% on broad based buying which saw over 67% of the main board close in positive territory. If it hadn’t been for a disappointing report from Bendigo Bank (BEN) which fell over 8% dragging much of the sector down in sympathy we could have been testing 7100 but with Commonwealth Bank (CBA) trading ex-dividend $2 fully franked on Wednesday it may prove a touch too much to ask this week.The Match Out: Market higher to kick off a big week of reporting, what’s our take on Carsales (CAR)?
A positive session to kick off the new trading week, one where reporting really starts to ramp up. Property & Consumer Discretionary stocks the driving force today, clearly the outcomes being achieved here are better than feared and stocks are rallying from a low base, while Energy & Financials underperformed.Macro Monday: Bonds & stocks aren’t drinking from the same fountain
Last week saw some inconsistencies / fascinating moves across financial markets which we believe were largely driven by investor positioning & sentiment but this might not continue if MM’s preferred scenario unfolds for bond yields. Last week was all about the US CPI and Wednesday’s number showed a much-welcomed slowdown in inflation which sent most indices soaring to their highest levels in over 3-months:Ask James: The ASX200 feels “tired” above 7000
The ASX200 struggled last week considering the theoretically strong tailwind from a weak US CPI print and no major blow-ups from the local reporting season, the index did manage to scale fresh 9-week highs but by Fridays close it had only managed to close up +0.2%. The Resources Sector helped keep the index in positive territory, significantly assisted by BHP’s bid for OZ Minerals (OZL), but what probably caught most investors off-guard was a more than 2% pullback by the tech & healthcare sectors even after the deceleration by the main US inflation indicator.The Match Out: Market takes a backwards step after a strong week, Tech and uranium stocks cop the brunt of selling
A softer session to end a positive week for the ASX with the first full week of local reporting proving to be okay. Energy rallied back today, so too did the Telco’s while Property lost some of yesterday’s lustre.What Matters Today: 3 stocks who report next week that could jump onto MM’s Hitlist
The ASX200 roared higher on Thursday on optimism that peak inflation is behind us but not all parts of this fascinating puzzle are currently in alignment:Relevant suggested news and content from the site
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