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NSR
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Do we already have the “bond rout” roadmap?

The ASX 200 was clobbered 1.0% on Wednesday as broad-based selling rolled through the local bourse as surging global bond yields continued to dominate the financial press. More than 70% of the main board retreated, with the tech (-3.4%) and materials (-3.1%) vying for the wooden spoon as risk-off sentiment was evident across the market - the defensive-oriented consumer staples (+0.8%) were not surprisingly the best-performing sector.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Bond yields and oil rattle the ASX as miners and tech weigh

The ASX came under pressure today as another surge in oil and global bond yields weighed on risk appetite. Crude oil pushed higher as tensions between the US and Iran escalated, adding to inflation concerns at a time when global central banks are already leaning increasingly hawkish.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The “SaaSpocalypse” is showing signs of being wrong!

The ASX 200 bounced strongly from its early morning low on Tuesday, recovering ~80% of its initial drop to end the session down just -0.1%. A solid performance in our opinion, considering the negative lead from global bonds as oil prices continued to climb on renewed tensions in the Middle East.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX edges lower as consumers sell off, Liontown (LTR) jumps on Argentine lithium deal

The ASX 200 slipped every so slightly, though certainly performed better than feared given escalation in the Middle East and rate hike expectations jumping over the past few days. A renewed spike in oil prices and global bond yields was largely shrugged off at the index level, though did put pressure on rate-sensitive parts of the market as consumer names took a hit. The move was reasonably broad with 7 of 11 sectors modestly lower, though strength across Energy and parts of Resources kept the index-level decline modest.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can coal stocks extend August’s strength?

The ASX 200 recovered impressively from an early sell-off to finish the final session of August down just -0.2%, a better outcome than we expected, with the Big Four banks adding around 30 points to the index. Interestingly, while resources retreated following Fed Chair Warsh’s hawkish comments on Friday and renewed tensions between the US and Iran, there was little evidence of broad-based selling.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX 200 manages to shrug off a Hot CPI – just!

The ASX 200 edged +0.37% higher last week courtesy of a strong close on Friday afternoon and another strong performance from the Materials sector (+2.5%). Earnings season remained broadly constructive, with estimated profit growth running at ~11%, although the improvement remains heavily concentrated in resources and energy, stripping those sectors out reduces growth to around ~5%. Financials have now fallen for three consecutive weeks amid housing and mortgage concerns, while Consumer Discretionary also struggled as higher rates and slowing housing activity weighed on earnings & sentiment following this week’s higher than expected CPI.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Tech Roars Back as the ASX Shrugs Off Rate Jitters

The ASX 200 finished the week on a firmer footing, bouncing around after Thursday’s broad sell-off. The recovery was led by tech stocks, which snapped back strongly after a tough couple of sessions as Nvidia and Salesforce’s overnight rallies reignited enthusiasm for the AI trade and Software trades. The banks and miners also provided support, with seven of 11 sectors higher through the afternoon.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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The RBA cut rates this afternoon by 0.25%, the first policy change since late 2023. Pressures have been building on the independent RBA for weeks, and no cut would have reverberated negatively across the economy and financial markets. Forecasting interest rates is fraught with danger, but a less restrictive Cash Rate of around 3.5% feels more on point in today’s environment, where many Australians are hurting financially.

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