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Why has Bendigo (BEN) outperformed Bank of Queensland (BOQ)?

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Why has Bendigo (BEN) outperformed Bank of Queensland (BOQ)?

Hi James & Team What's your view on the Regional Banks. Frustratingly sold BEN in late Sept 22 ($8.02). Most views were to sell the regionals but BEN has since gone up 26% to $10.20 today. ANZ in that same period up 11%. MMatters sold BOQ in August 2022 around $7.35 now $7.30 . Why has BEN gone up and BOQ remains unchanged? Is there any risk reward in BOQ?? regards Debbie

Answer

Hi Debbie,

The regional banks can be tricky place to invest commonly delivering both amplified under and outperformance. As you say BEN has outperformed because as a business its performed far stronger but we now believe that’s built into the respective share prices.

In December BEN delivered a strong trading update showing cash earnings of $245mn for the 5 months to November 30th, around 15% ahead of consensus estimates, the share price rallied strongly on the beat with NIM (net interest margin) surprising on the upside i.e. BEN’s level of rate sensitivity being greater than the market expected. Conversely BOQ unsettled the market when directors announced they had lost confidence in the CEO after 3 years, another big job for the head-hunters.

  • at current prices of Bank of Queensland (BOQ) $7.27 and Bendigo (BEN) $10.05 we like BOQ believing they can play some performance catch.
  • BOQ is forecast to yield strongly over the coming 12 months i.e. 6.6%
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Bendigo Bank (BEN) v Bank of QLD (BOQ)
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