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Fairly valued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 21 OCT 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 302.75 Fair value 373.99 One-star price 461.98
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 21 OCT 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 21 OCT 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (302.75) to the one-star price (461.98).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): USD/USD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 386.47 |
| Price - 12 month high | 498.82 |
| Price - 12 month low | 297.39 |
| Pricing date | 20 OCT 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 31.82 |
| Market capitalization | 1,527,611.62 |
| 12 Month High price date | 22 DEC 2025 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 29 JUL 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 37.70 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | 3.41% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | 1.99% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | 0.01% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 5.26% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | -12.68% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | -14.95% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 2.98% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 1.080 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.910 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 1.660 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 26.878 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 29.257 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 21.897 |
| Book value per share - most recent quarter | 22.590 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | 21.721 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent quarter | 22.741 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 4.402 |
| Cash per share - most recent quarter | 4.517 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 3.998 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 4.112 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 0.000 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 2.688 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 1.180 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 1.000 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 1.180 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 1.000 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | -0.240 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | 424.69 |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 224.69 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 13.21 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | 17.29 |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 94.00 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 94.00 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 17.11 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 424.69 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 260.73 |
| Net Debt, LFI | -28,771.00 |
| Net Debt, LFY | -29,340.00 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | — |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | — |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 0.00% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 5,578.00 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 14.63% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 17.76% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent quarter | 15.56% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent quarter | 18.29% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | -851.00 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | — |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 94,827.00 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 103,570.00 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | 10,084.00 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 9,516.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | 5,278.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 4,214.00 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | 3,794.00 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 3,220.00 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 9,479.00 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 5,858.00 |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 2.21 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.07% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 3.17% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 5.11% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 3.50% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 4.07% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 5.57% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 10.26% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 10.74% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 6.88% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | -0.82% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 10.56% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | 2.98% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 2.27% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | 4.98% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 3.88% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 10.21% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 18.96% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | 28,601.11 |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | 703,542.68 |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | 24.63% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | 38.75% |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | — |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 22.59% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | 5.19% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | -33.18% |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | 23.19% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 21.34% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | 19.18% |
Financial forecast (USD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | ||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (USD, millions)
| Period end: | DEC 21 | DEC 22 | DEC 23 | DEC 24 | DEC 25 |
| Fiscal year: | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
Announcements are available for ASX-listed companies only.
Tesla is far more than just the cars we see on the road. Through its Megapack and Powerpack systems, the company has become the world’s largest provider of grid-scale battery storage, supplying utilities and data centres with energy systems that balance renewable generation. Its Gigafactories in the U.S. and China produce lithium-ion cells for both vehicles and grid applications.
Tesla reported its first-quarter earnings this morning after the market closed. The headlines were as follows.
One piece of positive news out of the White House overnight was the potential that Elon Musk is stepping down as a special government employee. The departure of Trump's largest financial backer from his 2024 campaign has come earlier than expected, as the controversial figure has garnered mixed reactions over the past few months.
Even after missing sales and earnings expectations, Tesla rallied +2.8% on Thursday night. It must be the “Musk effect.” The results illustrated a balance between strong energy storage advances and automotive sector challenges.
Tesla shares surged well over 20% on Thursday night after posting 3rd quarter results that beat expectations, lifting the stock to its best day in more than a decade. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said his “best guess” is that “vehicle growth” will reach 20% to 30% next year.
We believe Elon Musk has a huge fight on his hands with rival EVs becoming increasingly prevalent on the road, and although tariffs should help, we don’t like the potential risks moving forward.
Tesla's stock plunged 12.3% overnight after it reported mixed Q2 results. These included a delay in the robotaxi launch and increased spending on new technology, which affected its operating margins. The company's margins remain under pressure due to rising costs, including developing its AI infrastructure to turn Tesla’s EVs into autonomous cars.
Last week saw leading EV manufacturer Tesla (TSLA US) plunge over -13% while the tech-based NASDAQ 100 surged to new all-time highs. The shares in Elon Musk’s $US580bn behemoth fell after the company's earnings missed expectations, and they said volume growth this year “may be notably lower” than was previously expected – this underwhelming demand for EVs, especially in the US, has been the main cause of the weakness of the lithium price and related stocks.
Tesla surged more than +10% overnight following bullish commentary from Mornay Stanley, we aren’t targeting a test of all-time highs by the EV maker but a break of $US300 looks likely this side of 2024 as the stock continues to demonstrate its trading appeal.
US stocks fell overnight led by the tech based NASDAQ which closed down -1.1% after the Fed minutes left further rate hikes on the table – no great surprise in our opinion, Jerome Powell et al must leave the door open for further hikes if inflation fails to fall into their target area. The NASDAQ has now fallen -2.2% over the last 2-days as the “Magnificent Seven” surrender some of the stellar gains of 2023.
MM is bullish towards Tesla around US$410
MM cautiously bullish towards TSLA
MM is neutral TSLA
MM likes TSLA as an aggressive trade
MM is neutral TSLA
MM is cautiously bullish towards TSLA
MM has no interest in buying TSLA at this point
MM is neutral towards TSLA
MM is neutral toward TSLA
MM is bullish TSLA short-term
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real-world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include a midsize sedan and crossover SUV in the entry-level luxury category, a luxury light truck, and a semitruck. Tesla also runs a robotaxi service in four US metropolitan areas. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. Additionally, the company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties, including utilities, solar panels, and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and a US auto insurance business.
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