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The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Wednesday but felt like a positive day to MM, with the index rallying from its early morning low to close near its intra-day high – if it weren’t for ongoing weakness by the large-cap iron ore names, it would have been a bullish reversal, e.g. BHP -1.3% and RIO -1%. The market’s internals were okay, with only 52% of the ASX200 closing lower on the day, while the index itself remained above 7800, within 1.2% of its all-time high. As we’ve said a few times of late, all things being equal, the path of least resistance for the index is up, but the resources need to hold at least steady for the ASX200 to test 8000. The underperformance of the influential iron ore names, considering we’re close to all-time highs, is eye-catching:

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX surges as soft CPI and ‘progress’ in the Middle East combine for the index’s best day 2 months

The ASX enjoyed a strong rebound today, bouncing sharply as investors latched onto two positives at once. Brent crude rolled over in Asian trade after the US President purportedly presented Iran with a 15-point plan to end the conflict, helping to calm nerves. At the same time, the February CPI print came in a touch softer than feared, giving the market some confidence that domestic inflation pressures are easing.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Looking through the noise from the Iran War

The ASX200 managed to close up +0.2% on Tuesday, but it wasn’t pretty with the index ending the session more than 100 points below its early morning high. The issue was the credibility of President Trump's claims that talks are underway to end the conflict with Iran, where reports of such talks were called “Fake News.” The attacks continue, although Trump has postponed strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, citing “productive conversations” with Tehran.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Materials drive early bounce, ASX fades through the session

The ASX finished modestly higher but well off its intraday highs after an early relief rally faded as the geopolitical backdrop in the Middle East remained fluid. The index surged more than +130pts at the open, briefly pushing 8500, before momentum cooled as US futures slipped gradually through the day.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX down but recovers nicely from morning lows

The ASX finished lower, though it was much worse early on in the session. The war in the Middle East continues to dominate sentiment, with the market now down ~9% from the start of March, flirting with technical 'correction' territory.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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