The ASX200 rallied over 0.5% yesterday although it was up over 1% moving into lunch before we saw some weakness creep into the Resources & Energy Sectors. However it was still a solid session for the local index which enjoyed over 65% of stocks on the main board advance with a few noticeably accelerating north i.e. 6 stocks rallied by over 5% while only 1 culprit retreated by the same degree.
The index closed just over 3% below its all-time high and a couple of decent sessions will now take the ASX200 into our initial 7700-7800 target area, the statistics are still voting for the bulls:
- The ASX200 again made fresh October highs on Wednesday taking its recovery from the low on the 1st to 4.1%, the average monthly range post COVID has been satisfied hence there should be no surprise that we’ve recently witnessed intra-day selling into strength.
- However the average quarterly range still suggests we should still see fresh highs into Christmas but remember we are likely to fade such an advance.
Bond yields finally took a rest yesterday and although we remain bullish initially looking for the Australian 3-year bond yields to test 1% in the coming months, from yesterday’s 0.75%, MM believes the upside momentum is likely to wane with the easy short-term money for the bulls already behind us – remember bullish bond yields / interest rates is in fact bearish the underlying bonds.
Overnight US stocks rallied towards fresh all-time highs with only a little weakness in the IT Sector holding stocks back, the SPI Futures are pointing to a firm open locally, up around 10-points – it will be interesting to see if we can shrug off the usual statistics and enjoy any decent further upside before November.