Sectors: Consumer Goods
SUL reports on Thursday and will need to do a better job than last October when the stock plunged ~20% after the retailer’s trading update was a touch soft, showing growth had decelerated mildly relative to the update they provided in August; not ideal after the stock had surged ~50% in a few months.
The beverage-cooler maker’s Q4 results overnight were broadly in line to slightly ahead of expectations, and while guidance was solid, they still see some ongoing challenges in the market.
TPW +13.03% delivered a better-than-expected half-yearly, driven by stronger earnings as a result of strength in home improvement sales on top of their now 2.9% share of the Australian retail furniture and homeware market.
BRG –2.2%: Reported well, flagged solid topline momentum into 2H25 however still moved lower, a trend we have seen in growth names with stretchy valuations this reporting season.
JBH –4.56%: Reported very strong 1H25 results that were a slight beat vs. consensus pushing shares higher initially. However, as is often the case when the market is looking for, and already positioned towards a good result, the share price gets hit with profit taking, which was the case today for JBH.
(NCK) +10.5%: Delivered a decent half-year earnings report today with lower earnings versus the prior half but a beat on recently recut guidance.
The Australian consumer is getting more confident as rate cuts get increasingly more press, if we see mortgages drop by anywhere near to 1% it will release plenty of spending capacity back into the economy.
As the operator of BCF, Supercheap Auto, Rebel and Macpac SUL is a company MM has covered several times in recent months, but as we hold no retail exposure in our Active Growth Portfolio, it’s a sector we’re watching closely.
MTS +2.24%: Reported 1H25 results this morning that were inline with company guidance and slightly ahead of consensus, which had been downgraded about a month ago.
Unfortunately, not our worst-performing stock in the MM Growth portfolio but it keeps disappointing and it’s potentially in the crosshairs of Trump tariffs. After crippling Chinese tariffs in 2020, TWE reinvented itself with over 50% of revenue now coming from the Americas and it’s now potentially walked into Tariffs – Mark 2