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Morning report

Macro Monday: Earnings & tariff optimism continues to drive recovery

The S&P 500 has extended its post “Liberation Day” rally to the longest winning streak in two decades, with worries around tariffs being replaced by “Fear of Missing Out” (FOMO) for cashed-up investors. A strong jobs report on Friday compounded optimism that the US and China’s dialogue around tariffs would prove fruitful.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Meta (Facebook) reignites the AI trade

Different month, same ASX200, the local market opened down before slowly climbing higher throughout the day to ultimately end the session up +0.2%, near the intraday high. The tech sector led the gains, surging over 4% following strong results overnight from Meta Platforms (META US) and Microsoft (MSFT US) – more on the AI & Data Centre stocks later. It was the sixth consecutive daily gain for the ASX200, although it was the weakest session since the advance began, and some consolidation is feeling close at hand.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Uranium shorts are enormous, a dramatic “squeeze” could be in the offing

The ASX 200 popped higher in the last hour of April trade, taking the local index up 3.6% for the month. This has been a dramatic and impressive turnaround considering the carnage following “Liberation Day.” Similarly, global stocks were sitting up +0.5% ahead of overnight trade with the US reporting season set to take the markets' focus, at least for a week or two.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 makes 9-week highs, and people are still bearish

The ASX200 rallied strongly throughout Tuesday, hardly taking a backwards step all day to close up +0.9% on broad-based buying that saw almost 90% of the main board close higher. Local stocks are benefiting from some overseas money finding its way into the ASX, which has outperformed the US in 2025, although a few months doesn’t make a year.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Three ASX stocks very exposed to a global slowdown

The ASX200 struggled to hold onto early gains on Monday, not helped by weakness across US Futures and local heavyweights CBA and BHP. The market ultimately finished up 28-points after surrendering ~65% of the early gains, but over 70% of the main board closed higher, led by strong moves across the energy and tech sectors.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Good old-fashioned earnings drive stocks higher

Last week saw the S&P 500 enjoy its longest advance since January, rising +4.6%, taking the index back above the psychological 5500 level. After an exceptionally volatile month, the index is less than 2% below where it exited March, while the tech-based NASDAQ is actually higher.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: As gold plunges, which stocks does MM like & where?

The ASX 200 sprang out of the blocks on Wednesday after the stunning reversal on Wall Street following bullish rhetoric from US President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The local index may have drifted slightly in the afternoon, but it still closed up over 100 points on broad-based gains outside of the gold sector - more on this later.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Did MM turn neutral towards Gold too early?

The ASX 200 performed well on Wednesday, considering US NASDAQ Futures were down over 2% by 4pm AEST, courtesy of poor news from both sides of the Atlantic before the respective bourses even opened. Global Tech stocks sank on a one-two of bad news for tech goliaths Nvidia and ASML, the last thing the embattled semiconductor sector needed.
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MM is cautiously bullish on the ASX200 through 2025
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MM is cautiously bullish on the Wilshire 5000 through 2025
MM is bullish towards Japan’s Nikkei 225 through 2025
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MM remains cautiously bullish about Australian 3-Year Bonds (yields lower)
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OOO
MM is neutral Brent Crude ~$US60
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MM is bullish towards Copper (Cu) medium-term
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USD
MM remains bearish towards the $US medium/long term
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MM is neutral towards the Yen in the short-term
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WDS
Trade Idea: Buy Woodside (WDS) at $18, with a stop loss at $16.80 – a 6% risk.
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XRO
MM is long and bullish towards XRO
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Meta (Facebook) reignites the AI trade

Different month, same ASX200, the local market opened down before slowly climbing higher throughout the day to ultimately end the session up +0.2%, near the intraday high. The tech sector led the gains, surging over 4% following strong results overnight from Meta Platforms (META US) and Microsoft (MSFT US) – more on the AI & Data Centre stocks later. It was the sixth consecutive daily gain for the ASX200, although it was the weakest session since the advance began, and some consolidation is feeling close at hand.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Uranium shorts are enormous, a dramatic “squeeze” could be in the offing

The ASX 200 popped higher in the last hour of April trade, taking the local index up 3.6% for the month. This has been a dramatic and impressive turnaround considering the carnage following “Liberation Day.” Similarly, global stocks were sitting up +0.5% ahead of overnight trade with the US reporting season set to take the markets' focus, at least for a week or two.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 makes 9-week highs, and people are still bearish

The ASX200 rallied strongly throughout Tuesday, hardly taking a backwards step all day to close up +0.9% on broad-based buying that saw almost 90% of the main board close higher. Local stocks are benefiting from some overseas money finding its way into the ASX, which has outperformed the US in 2025, although a few months doesn’t make a year.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Three ASX stocks very exposed to a global slowdown

The ASX200 struggled to hold onto early gains on Monday, not helped by weakness across US Futures and local heavyweights CBA and BHP. The market ultimately finished up 28-points after surrendering ~65% of the early gains, but over 70% of the main board closed higher, led by strong moves across the energy and tech sectors.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Good old-fashioned earnings drive stocks higher

Last week saw the S&P 500 enjoy its longest advance since January, rising +4.6%, taking the index back above the psychological 5500 level. After an exceptionally volatile month, the index is less than 2% below where it exited March, while the tech-based NASDAQ is actually higher.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: As gold plunges, which stocks does MM like & where?

The ASX 200 sprang out of the blocks on Wednesday after the stunning reversal on Wall Street following bullish rhetoric from US President Donald Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The local index may have drifted slightly in the afternoon, but it still closed up over 100 points on broad-based gains outside of the gold sector - more on this later.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday, on Tuesday: Trump’s focus on Jerome Powell creates further investor angst

Less than a month after “Liberation Day”, fresh economic data and growth forecasts are set to reflect increased consumer nervousness, both today and moving forward. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) will lower its outlook for economic growth with its updated projections released on Tuesday – the only question being how much.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Did MM turn neutral towards Gold too early?

The ASX 200 performed well on Wednesday, considering US NASDAQ Futures were down over 2% by 4pm AEST, courtesy of poor news from both sides of the Atlantic before the respective bourses even opened. Global Tech stocks sank on a one-two of bad news for tech goliaths Nvidia and ASML, the last thing the embattled semiconductor sector needed.

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