The ASX 200 closed up +0.9% on Thursday, posting both a fresh intraday and closing high. The catalyst being a surprisingly weak June jobs report, which increased the case for three rate cuts before Christmas - two were already being fully factored in.
The ASX200 took a 0.8% hit on Wednesday, its worst session since early May, with over 65% of the main board retreating. Rising long-term bond yields and ongoing uncertainty around tariffs proved too much for a market striving to post new highs.
The ASX200 surged +0.7% on Tuesday following broad-based gains, which saw 70% of the mainboard close higher. The index posted a fresh record closing high for the second time in a fortnight, ignoring plenty of negative news along the way. Ironically, the only sector which slipped on the day was the materials even after China reported better-than-expected quarterly economic growth, although we wouldn't be surprised to see this translate to some buying in the miners into August.
The ASX200 closed down 0.1% on Monday, which was another solid performance considering overseas indices were weak on Friday night, and the S&P 500 futures fell further during our day session after the Trade War gathered momentum over the weekend. In typical bullish fashion, the index opened around its daily low, grinding higher as BHP and the materials sector offset losses in the financials; CBA and Westpac combined to take over 6 points off the index, which was almost perfectly offset by a +0.9% gain by BHP Group (BHP). The market may feel tired around the 8600 level, but it continues to frustrate the bears as stock and sector rotation remain the main game in town.
Stocks have shown increasing complacency to US tariff threats, and they will face another test this morning after President Donald Trump declared a 30% rate for the European Union and Mexico, effective August 1st. He said Mexico had failed to do enough to stop the flow of fentanyl into the US and complained that the EU’s trade deficit with the US was unfair, almost ~$US150bn last year, as can be seen below.
The ASX 200 closed up +0.6% on Thursday, a further 0.6% gain today, and it will post a fresh intra-day high. The rotation on the stock/sector level is currently chaotic, with yesterday's moves largely a reversal of Wednesday's, although the recovery by lithium names continues to gather bullish momentum.
The ASX200 fell 0.6% on Wednesday, its largest decline in two months, as the market spent its 26th day rotating in a relatively tight 200-point range. However, while the index has been very calm for almost six weeks on the stock level, it's been a very different story with the return of tariff uncertainty and the ever-changing perceptions around the future path for interest rates, spiking volatility across stocks – it’s just been a case of rotation between sectors instead of between stocks and cash.
The ASX200 had plenty of reasons to fall on Monday, but again, come 4 p.m., the bears were left disappointed: Trump is throwing around tariffs again like confetti, the Dow dropped over 400 points, and the almost guaranteed RBA rate cut failed to materialise.
The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Monday, largely shrugging off weakness across US futures markets as Trump’s tariff deadline moved ever closer. Over 40% of the main board managed to close higher, with most of the major movers on the day being news-led.
Donald Trump’s second presidency has been volatile, and it's still less than six months since his inauguration. When Congress approved Trump’s budget mega bill on Thursday, it was the latest of the milestones for the president as he follows through on his unconventional election promises.
The ASX200 took a 0.8% hit on Wednesday, its worst session since early May, with over 65% of the main board retreating. Rising long-term bond yields and ongoing uncertainty around tariffs proved too much for a market striving to post new highs.
The ASX200 surged +0.7% on Tuesday following broad-based gains, which saw 70% of the mainboard close higher. The index posted a fresh record closing high for the second time in a fortnight, ignoring plenty of negative news along the way. Ironically, the only sector which slipped on the day was the materials even after China reported better-than-expected quarterly economic growth, although we wouldn't be surprised to see this translate to some buying in the miners into August.
The ASX200 closed down 0.1% on Monday, which was another solid performance considering overseas indices were weak on Friday night, and the S&P 500 futures fell further during our day session after the Trade War gathered momentum over the weekend. In typical bullish fashion, the index opened around its daily low, grinding higher as BHP and the materials sector offset losses in the financials; CBA and Westpac combined to take over 6 points off the index, which was almost perfectly offset by a +0.9% gain by BHP Group (BHP). The market may feel tired around the 8600 level, but it continues to frustrate the bears as stock and sector rotation remain the main game in town.
Stocks have shown increasing complacency to US tariff threats, and they will face another test this morning after President Donald Trump declared a 30% rate for the European Union and Mexico, effective August 1st. He said Mexico had failed to do enough to stop the flow of fentanyl into the US and complained that the EU’s trade deficit with the US was unfair, almost ~$US150bn last year, as can be seen below.
The ASX 200 closed up +0.6% on Thursday, a further 0.6% gain today, and it will post a fresh intra-day high. The rotation on the stock/sector level is currently chaotic, with yesterday's moves largely a reversal of Wednesday's, although the recovery by lithium names continues to gather bullish momentum.
The ASX200 fell 0.6% on Wednesday, its largest decline in two months, as the market spent its 26th day rotating in a relatively tight 200-point range. However, while the index has been very calm for almost six weeks on the stock level, it's been a very different story with the return of tariff uncertainty and the ever-changing perceptions around the future path for interest rates, spiking volatility across stocks – it’s just been a case of rotation between sectors instead of between stocks and cash.
The ASX200 had plenty of reasons to fall on Monday, but again, come 4 p.m., the bears were left disappointed: Trump is throwing around tariffs again like confetti, the Dow dropped over 400 points, and the almost guaranteed RBA rate cut failed to materialise.
The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Monday, largely shrugging off weakness across US futures markets as Trump’s tariff deadline moved ever closer. Over 40% of the main board managed to close higher, with most of the major movers on the day being news-led.
Donald Trump’s second presidency has been volatile, and it's still less than six months since his inauguration. When Congress approved Trump’s budget mega bill on Thursday, it was the latest of the milestones for the president as he follows through on his unconventional election promises.
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