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Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing the Nine stocks that have entered the ASX200 in September – Part 2

The ASX200 fell 0.9% on Wednesday, driven lower by the financials and healthcare stocks. The market struggled early on, following a soft session on Wall Street, before the selling intensified after the monthly inflation read came in hotter than expected. Consumer prices rose 3.0 per cent in the year to August, slightly above the 2.9% expected, effectively killing any hope the RBA would cut interest rates next week.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Have we underestimated Gold’s bull market?

The ASX200 rose 0.4% on Tuesday, posting its 3rd consecutive gain, led by the financials and in particular the Big Four banks, which averaged a gain of ~0.8%. The materials sector was again strong, testing its 12-month high under the power of the large-cap iron ore miners and rampant gold market, which we will look at later, as China gave the precious metal another reason to charge higher.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing the Nine stocks that have entered the ASX200 in September – Part 1

The ASX 200 finished +0.4% higher on a fairly choppy Monday, which saw a very strong local market opening, eventually losing half of the early gains. The gains were very stock/sector specific, with only 6 of the main 11 sectors closing higher, but a stomping +2.6% session by the materials stocks was enough to drive the market higher, with gold equities again the shining light with the precious metal breaking well above the $US3,700/oz milestone.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The Fed rate cut propels US stocks ever higher

US stocks have defied sceptics in 2025, surging to record highs despite a global trade war, fiscal uncertainty, and now September’s traditionally weak reputation. The S&P 500 has added $US16 trillion in market value since April, driven largely by Big Tech, notching ~30 records and rallying 38% in five months, a pace surpassed only four times in the last 75 years.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Three solid ETFs for exposure to Chinese Tech & AI

Chinese tech stocks posted a near four-year high on Thursday as AI-fuelled buying and a regulatory ban on an Nvidia Corp. chip boosted prospects for domestic rivals. The Hang Seng Tech Index rose as much as 2% on Thursday, before fading into the close, building on Wednesday’s 4.2% rally that marked its highest close since November 2021. Gains followed a Chinese regulator’s order to halt imports for Nvidia’s RTX Pro 6000D, seen as a boost for domestic chipmakers. Chinese chipmaker SMIC contributed the most to the tech index’s advance, with shares surging as much as 8.3% in Hong Kong. Hua Hong Semiconductor Ltd. jumped as much as 13%. Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Baidu Inc., which are developing their homegrown alternatives to foreign chips, also rose.
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Morning report

Looking for value in a “rich” market after the Fed cuts rates

This morning, the Fed delivered as expected, while the rhetoric led to volatility but ultimately a mixed close for stocks: • The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25% as expected and pencilled in 2 more cuts before Christmas. • However, looking ahead at the outlook for additional rate moves, Powell was cautious, saying the Fed was now in a “meeting-by-meeting situation.” • The vote was 11-1, with Governor Miran dissenting in favour of 0.5%; he will now be on Trump's Christmas card list. • Chair Jerome Powell pointed to growing signs of weakness in the labour market to explain why officials decided it was time to cut rates after holding them steady since December amid concerns over tariff-driven inflation.
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MM is now neutral towards the ASX200 in the short term
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MM is cautiously bullish towards the 3s (yields lower), medium-term
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IVV
MM remains neutral towards the S&P 500 in the short term
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MM is long and bullish on BABA US
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MM remains bullish towards the COPX copper ETFS
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GGP
MM is bullish towards GGP medium-term
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PRN
MM is bullish towards PRN
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DRO
MM is cautiously bullish towards DRO
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EBO
MM is neutral towards EBO
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Have we underestimated Gold’s bull market?

The ASX200 rose 0.4% on Tuesday, posting its 3rd consecutive gain, led by the financials and in particular the Big Four banks, which averaged a gain of ~0.8%. The materials sector was again strong, testing its 12-month high under the power of the large-cap iron ore miners and rampant gold market, which we will look at later, as China gave the precious metal another reason to charge higher.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Reviewing the Nine stocks that have entered the ASX200 in September – Part 1

The ASX 200 finished +0.4% higher on a fairly choppy Monday, which saw a very strong local market opening, eventually losing half of the early gains. The gains were very stock/sector specific, with only 6 of the main 11 sectors closing higher, but a stomping +2.6% session by the materials stocks was enough to drive the market higher, with gold equities again the shining light with the precious metal breaking well above the $US3,700/oz milestone.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The Fed rate cut propels US stocks ever higher

US stocks have defied sceptics in 2025, surging to record highs despite a global trade war, fiscal uncertainty, and now September’s traditionally weak reputation. The S&P 500 has added $US16 trillion in market value since April, driven largely by Big Tech, notching ~30 records and rallying 38% in five months, a pace surpassed only four times in the last 75 years.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Three solid ETFs for exposure to Chinese Tech & AI

Chinese tech stocks posted a near four-year high on Thursday as AI-fuelled buying and a regulatory ban on an Nvidia Corp. chip boosted prospects for domestic rivals. The Hang Seng Tech Index rose as much as 2% on Thursday, before fading into the close, building on Wednesday’s 4.2% rally that marked its highest close since November 2021. Gains followed a Chinese regulator’s order to halt imports for Nvidia’s RTX Pro 6000D, seen as a boost for domestic chipmakers. Chinese chipmaker SMIC contributed the most to the tech index’s advance, with shares surging as much as 8.3% in Hong Kong. Hua Hong Semiconductor Ltd. jumped as much as 13%. Shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Baidu Inc., which are developing their homegrown alternatives to foreign chips, also rose.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Looking for value in a “rich” market after the Fed cuts rates

This morning, the Fed delivered as expected, while the rhetoric led to volatility but ultimately a mixed close for stocks: • The Fed cut interest rates by 0.25% as expected and pencilled in 2 more cuts before Christmas. • However, looking ahead at the outlook for additional rate moves, Powell was cautious, saying the Fed was now in a “meeting-by-meeting situation.” • The vote was 11-1, with Governor Miran dissenting in favour of 0.5%; he will now be on Trump's Christmas card list. • Chair Jerome Powell pointed to growing signs of weakness in the labour market to explain why officials decided it was time to cut rates after holding them steady since December amid concerns over tariff-driven inflation.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to fade the weakness in the global healthcare sector?

The ASX 200 slipped 0.1% on Monday as investors continued to “buy the dip”, allowing the market to recover from an initial 0.8% fall. The winners managed to outnumber the losers on the main board, but weakness in heavyweights CBA, BHP and CSL was enough to drag the index into negative territory, albeit just.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The Fed takes centre stage this week

The S&P 500 has surged more than 30% from its April lows, fuelled by expectations that the Fed will cut rates several times this year, with a 25-basis-point move widely seen as a certainty on Wednesday.

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