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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Market fails to embrace M&A activity

The ASX200 continues to oscillate around the psychological 7000 level ignoring both good and bad news over recent sessions. Yesterday we saw further positive M&A news from both Bingo (BIN) & Tabcorp (TAH) plus an iron ore sector continuing to recover strongly but disappointingly with over half of the ASX falling the underlying index was unable to register a gain for the day – the stock / sector rotation continues.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is lumber painting a picture?

The ASX200 slipped lower on Monday failing to take any cheer from a strong end to last week by overseas markets, the session felt like a drift lower on lack of interest with less than 30% of stocks managing to close in positive territory. With the exception of some solid gains by the iron ore names, following a strong session by the bulk commodity, nothing particularly caught our attention on a day where a disappointing 10 out of 11 of the market sectors closed lower.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: No change as stocks hover at all-time highs

Last week saw the ASX200 close basically unchanged although it was fairly choppy from a day to day perspective but with Healthcare stocks picking up the slack in IT and Energy the net result to the index was extremely small. Stock / sector rotation continues to dominate the Australian market as we approach the infamous May – the phrase “sell in May & go away” is founded on hard seasonal facts - over the last decade, while the market was rallying, the average return for May was -3% and June -1.7%.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Where do we like Energy stocks?

The ASX200 rallied strongly on Thursday after a fairly lacklustre start ultimately posting a solid +0.8% gain taking the market to within striking distance of its 2021 high. Gains were again broad based with almost 70% of the market closing up while heavyweights Commonwealth Bank (CBA), CSL Ltd (CSL) and BHP Group (BHP) all outperformed on the day.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: the ASX200 struggles above 7000

The ASX200 had a bad day at the office yesterday underperforming most global indices as nerves appeared to flicker across investors headlights – the local indexes largest decline in April unfolded courtesy of some broad based selling which saw over 65% of stocks fall while on the sector level only the Telcos closed in positive territory.
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MM remains cautious the ASX200 around the 7000 area
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CTD
MM likes CTD ~$16.50
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ANN
MM is bullish ANN with stops below $40 i.e. less than 3% away
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QBE
MM is now bullish QBE at current levels
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MM is bullish the $A by default as the $US falls
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MM is cautious US stocks around current all-time highs
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MM is mildly bearish US yields from current levels
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MM is bullish local bond yields medium-term even as the official cash rate remains low
MM is looking for the REIT’s to correct from the 3500 region
URW
MM likes URW short-term
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GOZ
MM likes GOZ for a test of $4
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LLC
MM is bullish LLC at current levels
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Market fails to embrace M&A activity

The ASX200 continues to oscillate around the psychological 7000 level ignoring both good and bad news over recent sessions. Yesterday we saw further positive M&A news from both Bingo (BIN) & Tabcorp (TAH) plus an iron ore sector continuing to recover strongly but disappointingly with over half of the ASX falling the underlying index was unable to register a gain for the day – the stock / sector rotation continues.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is lumber painting a picture?

The ASX200 slipped lower on Monday failing to take any cheer from a strong end to last week by overseas markets, the session felt like a drift lower on lack of interest with less than 30% of stocks managing to close in positive territory. With the exception of some solid gains by the iron ore names, following a strong session by the bulk commodity, nothing particularly caught our attention on a day where a disappointing 10 out of 11 of the market sectors closed lower.

Morning report

Macro Monday: No change as stocks hover at all-time highs

Last week saw the ASX200 close basically unchanged although it was fairly choppy from a day to day perspective but with Healthcare stocks picking up the slack in IT and Energy the net result to the index was extremely small. Stock / sector rotation continues to dominate the Australian market as we approach the infamous May – the phrase “sell in May & go away” is founded on hard seasonal facts - over the last decade, while the market was rallying, the average return for May was -3% and June -1.7%.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Where do we like Energy stocks?

The ASX200 rallied strongly on Thursday after a fairly lacklustre start ultimately posting a solid +0.8% gain taking the market to within striking distance of its 2021 high. Gains were again broad based with almost 70% of the market closing up while heavyweights Commonwealth Bank (CBA), CSL Ltd (CSL) and BHP Group (BHP) all outperformed on the day.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: the ASX200 struggles above 7000

The ASX200 had a bad day at the office yesterday underperforming most global indices as nerves appeared to flicker across investors headlights – the local indexes largest decline in April unfolded courtesy of some broad based selling which saw over 65% of stocks fall while on the sector level only the Telcos closed in positive territory.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Is Bitcoin ringing the bell?

Last week saw the ASX200 push to a fresh post COVID high, finally ending the week less than 2% below its previous peak as local equities danced the bullish risk jig.

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