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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: New all-time highs and no signs of failure!

The ASX200 drifted lower yesterday although it was primarily a lacklustre session by the banks which caused the -0.2% decline. Under-the-hood the local tech space remained the hot place to be after being ignited by the $39bn takeover bid for Afterpay (APT) on Monday, the biggest corporate play in history, perhaps we’re finally going to see the local IT stocks address their major underperformance when compared to the US FANG’s & Co through 2021 – more on that later.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Our favourite 3 yield plays into 2022

The ASX200 open well as expected yesterday but for a pleasant change it continued to rally strongly with 80% of the market closing up on the day. There were a number of obvious standouts on Monday including the $39bn bid for Afterpay (APT) and Santos (STO) raising their offer for Oil Search (OSH) but a few other less obvious moves also caught our attention:
Read more
Morning report

Macro Monday: It feels like stocks v the “Delta strain” as we kick off August

The ASX200 waved goodbye to July in lacklustre fashion on Friday, the first month of FY21/22 only managed to travel a meagre 79-pints / 1.1% to ultimately close down just 2-points, it felt like a quiet choppy almost “nothing like” month and ultimately that’s exactly what it was on the index level although there were a view interestingly developments unfolding beneath the hood:
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Morning report

What Matters Today: As COVID scares investors is there safety in food stocks?

The ASX200 performed another 180 degree pirouette yesterday, one which was almost good enough for the Tokyo Games! The market continues to remind me of a washing machine spinning stocks and sectors in almost random direction with the underlying upside bias the only constant. The Tech stocks were best on ground yesterday after struggling on Wednesday, every stock in the sector...
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is iron ore creating a “peak performance” scenario for RIO, BHP etc

The ASX200 struggled yesterday in the face of broad based selling which ended with 70% of stocks closing lower by the end of the session. On the sector level the unusual combination of IT & Energy stocks bore the brunt of the selling although the big 3 of CBA, CSL and BHP falling an average of -1.3% had the largest impact on the underlying index. If recent history repeats itself we will be making fresh all-time highs by the start of August but Wednesdays weakness...
Read more
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: China swings the “Big Brother” stick.

The ASX200 powered to fresh all-time highs yesterday even while China regulators hammered certain pockets of the market and the COVID numbers out of Sydney continue to worsen by the day. Overnight the Australian Financial Review (AFR) was flagging another month of lockdown for Sydney but equities are just shrugging off the speculation as old news. More stocks actually fell on Tuesday but when heavyweights Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and BHP Group (BHP) rally strongly...
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Australian education stocks going to follow China’s lower?

The ASX200 closed unchanged on Monday after registering new all-time highs early in the morning only to drift lower throughout the day to ultimately close around the day’s low with almost 60% of stocks closing in the red. Volumes were reasonably low as the local market followed Asian indices and US futures down throughout the session but with no sector moving...
Read more
Morning report

Macro Monday: “Backwardation” illustrates confidence is mixed but not stocks!

The ASX200 is poised to make fresh all-time highs this morning with good old fashioned corporate performance dictating the markets trend as opposed to short-term panic around COVID-19 and the subsequent deteriorating sentiment towards the global economic recovery. When we stand back and look at the local market since this impressive post GFC bull market started way back in March 2009 the rally by equities has been steady with a few interesting characteristics catching our eye:
Read more
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should MM follow Tesla (TSLA US) into nickel?

This weeks summed up perfectly both June & July for the ASX200, we kicked-off on Monday with one of the worst days in months leading to a test of 7200 on Tuesday morning, but by the close on Thursday these losses were well and truly in the rear view mirror as local stocks closed within only 0.3% of their all-time high, buy the dips is clearly still the winning formula.
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MM remains bullish the ASX and keen buyers of pullbacks
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MM believes the ASX200 tech sector will outperform its US peers over the next 6-12 months
MM is bullish Indian stocks medium-term
MM believes the Australian bond yields are at / close to a point of inflection
USD
MM believes the $US will be capped by the 94-95 area
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MM remains bullish copper into weakness
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BOQ
MM is bullish BOQ initially targeting the $10 area
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MM will continue to hold our 4% position in CWNHB
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SSM
MM plans to take up the rights in Service stream (SSM)
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PBH
MM is bullish PBH
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MM is bullish DE at current levels
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MM likes the TBF ETF around the $US15.80 area
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Our favourite 3 yield plays into 2022

The ASX200 open well as expected yesterday but for a pleasant change it continued to rally strongly with 80% of the market closing up on the day. There were a number of obvious standouts on Monday including the $39bn bid for Afterpay (APT) and Santos (STO) raising their offer for Oil Search (OSH) but a few other less obvious moves also caught our attention:

Morning report

Macro Monday: It feels like stocks v the “Delta strain” as we kick off August

The ASX200 waved goodbye to July in lacklustre fashion on Friday, the first month of FY21/22 only managed to travel a meagre 79-pints / 1.1% to ultimately close down just 2-points, it felt like a quiet choppy almost “nothing like” month and ultimately that’s exactly what it was on the index level although there were a view interestingly developments unfolding beneath the hood:

Morning report

What Matters Today: As COVID scares investors is there safety in food stocks?

The ASX200 performed another 180 degree pirouette yesterday, one which was almost good enough for the Tokyo Games! The market continues to remind me of a washing machine spinning stocks and sectors in almost random direction with the underlying upside bias the only constant. The Tech stocks were best on ground yesterday after struggling on Wednesday, every stock in the sector...

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is iron ore creating a “peak performance” scenario for RIO, BHP etc

The ASX200 struggled yesterday in the face of broad based selling which ended with 70% of stocks closing lower by the end of the session. On the sector level the unusual combination of IT & Energy stocks bore the brunt of the selling although the big 3 of CBA, CSL and BHP falling an average of -1.3% had the largest impact on the underlying index. If recent history repeats itself we will be making fresh all-time highs by the start of August but Wednesdays weakness...

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: China swings the “Big Brother” stick.

The ASX200 powered to fresh all-time highs yesterday even while China regulators hammered certain pockets of the market and the COVID numbers out of Sydney continue to worsen by the day. Overnight the Australian Financial Review (AFR) was flagging another month of lockdown for Sydney but equities are just shrugging off the speculation as old news. More stocks actually fell on Tuesday but when heavyweights Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and BHP Group (BHP) rally strongly...

Morning report

What Matters Today: Are Australian education stocks going to follow China’s lower?

The ASX200 closed unchanged on Monday after registering new all-time highs early in the morning only to drift lower throughout the day to ultimately close around the day’s low with almost 60% of stocks closing in the red. Volumes were reasonably low as the local market followed Asian indices and US futures down throughout the session but with no sector moving...

Morning report

Macro Monday: “Backwardation” illustrates confidence is mixed but not stocks!

The ASX200 is poised to make fresh all-time highs this morning with good old fashioned corporate performance dictating the markets trend as opposed to short-term panic around COVID-19 and the subsequent deteriorating sentiment towards the global economic recovery. When we stand back and look at the local market since this impressive post GFC bull market started way back in March 2009 the rally by equities has been steady with a few interesting characteristics catching our eye:

Morning report

What Matters Today: Should MM follow Tesla (TSLA US) into nickel?

This weeks summed up perfectly both June & July for the ASX200, we kicked-off on Monday with one of the worst days in months leading to a test of 7200 on Tuesday morning, but by the close on Thursday these losses were well and truly in the rear view mirror as local stocks closed within only 0.3% of their all-time high, buy the dips is clearly still the winning formula.

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