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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time to don a contrarian hat towards fund managers?

The ASX 200 again illustrated it’s regained its “Mojo” on Wednesday, reversing early losses to close up +0.3%, its best close since late August - it will get another test today with the index set to open down 0.5%. Gains were again fairly broad-based on Wednesday, with more than 60% of the main board closing higher, and the miners contributing over 70% of the day's advance.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Hot US inflation will test portfolios today

The ASX 200 surged out of the gates on Tuesday, steadily building on its early gains to finish up +1.1%, helped by broad-based buying with close to 90% of the market’s main board closing higher. The financials took over the baton from the miners in terms of market gains, but only just; the banks & Co added 34 points while the materials sector added 33 points, and importantly, there were no major groups that weighed on the index
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Morning report

Macro Monday: What’s next after the RBA Rate Hike and US Blue Wave?

The storming victory by the Democrats in the US, taking both the House and Senate, was largely expected, although the emphatic nature of the result surprised many. It led to investors reassessing the risks around the AI infrastructure buildout - the “picks and shovels trade” was literally hammered.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Five & done for the RBA?

Yesterday brought us the Melbourne Cup and another 0.25% rate hike by the RBA, taking the cash rate to 4.85%, its highest level in 18 years. The hike was totally expected, but overall the rhetoric from Michele Bullock supported our view that rates will now be on hold well into 2027, with the next move more likely to be a cut.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Can Rare Earth stocks recover after the US Midterm Elections?

The ASX 200 fell away on Monday ahead of the RBA and US mid-terms, with the miners and banks, the main contributors to the index's 0.6% decline. The banks slipped despite Westpac (ASX: WBC) advancing +1% following its reasonable FY26 result, despite management warning the next 12–18 months of its UNITE transformation would be challenging - UNITE is WBC’s major, multi-year technology and operational transformation program, designed to simplify how the bank operates, reduce costs and improve customer experience.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Here come the RBA & Mid-terms, as if it wasn’t volatile enough!

The US Tech Sector came under further pressure last week with aggressive pullbacks from the likes of Intel (-24%), Google (-13%), Palantir (-6%), Netflix (-6%), and Meta (-3%) weighing on the indices and general market sentiment. The issue last week wasn’t bond yields, but the latest earnings season exposing the growing cash-flow cost of the AI boom.
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MM remains bullish towards the ASX200 around 9150
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XRO
MM remains long & bullish XRO
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MM remains bullish towards the SOX index around 10,500
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IVV
MM is bullish towards both the S&P 500 growth and value indices
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GQG
MM is neutral towards GQG below 80c, at best
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RPL
MM is long bullish towards RPL below $2.30 (for now)
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MM is cautiously bullish towards APAM around US$38.50
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MM is cautiously bullish towards ARES below US$140
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Hot US inflation will test portfolios today

The ASX 200 surged out of the gates on Tuesday, steadily building on its early gains to finish up +1.1%, helped by broad-based buying with close to 90% of the market’s main board closing higher. The financials took over the baton from the miners in terms of market gains, but only just; the banks & Co added 34 points while the materials sector added 33 points, and importantly, there were no major groups that weighed on the index

Morning report

What Matters Today: Gold & uranium stocks start to fire again

The ASX 200 had a choppy Monday before finally closing up just +0.1%, despite the losers just nudging the number of winners. Fortunately, from an index perspective, the materials sector (+2.9%) carries more weight than the financials (-1.1%).

Morning report

Macro Monday: What’s next after the RBA Rate Hike and US Blue Wave?

The storming victory by the Democrats in the US, taking both the House and Senate, was largely expected, although the emphatic nature of the result surprised many. It led to investors reassessing the risks around the AI infrastructure buildout - the “picks and shovels trade” was literally hammered.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Five & done for the RBA?

Yesterday brought us the Melbourne Cup and another 0.25% rate hike by the RBA, taking the cash rate to 4.85%, its highest level in 18 years. The hike was totally expected, but overall the rhetoric from Michele Bullock supported our view that rates will now be on hold well into 2027, with the next move more likely to be a cut.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Can Rare Earth stocks recover after the US Midterm Elections?

The ASX 200 fell away on Monday ahead of the RBA and US mid-terms, with the miners and banks, the main contributors to the index's 0.6% decline. The banks slipped despite Westpac (ASX: WBC) advancing +1% following its reasonable FY26 result, despite management warning the next 12–18 months of its UNITE transformation would be challenging - UNITE is WBC’s major, multi-year technology and operational transformation program, designed to simplify how the bank operates, reduce costs and improve customer experience.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Here come the RBA & Mid-terms, as if it wasn’t volatile enough!

The US Tech Sector came under further pressure last week with aggressive pullbacks from the likes of Intel (-24%), Google (-13%), Palantir (-6%), Netflix (-6%), and Meta (-3%) weighing on the indices and general market sentiment. The issue last week wasn’t bond yields, but the latest earnings season exposing the growing cash-flow cost of the AI boom.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Three sectors where not all boats are rising/sinking as one

Firstly, we have a new data provider now feeding the Market Matters website, with the cut over completed overnight. Further enhancements to come in coming months, which will tie in our expanded data set with some interesting tools to better analysis the market as a whole and improve the navigation around the site.

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