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Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at 4 ETFs in the cross hairs of the Middle East conflict

The ASX 200 fell by more than 140 points on Thursday, with escalating concerns about the Middle East conflict weighing heavily on the market. The miners (-4.8%) were front and centre of the selling, while energy (+5.1%) was unsurprisingly best on the ground. As the oil price surged above $US110, inflation fears soared, weighing on rate-sensitive stocks, with the crowded gold sector enduring some aggressive liquidation while tech and real estate names were also heavy as futures markets priced in at least two more rate hikes before Christmas.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 Major takeaways from March’s BofA Fund Managers survey

The ASX 200 rose another 0.3% on Wednesday, with around 70% of the index finishing higher as oil prices eased slightly and buying interest returned to the miners - RIO (+1.2%) and BHP Group (+0.7%). However, it was a relatively quiet session as investors digested this week's RBA’s split rate decision ahead of this morning’s Fed meeting, where no change was expected for a second consecutive meeting, and since the attacks on Iran, rate cuts are now not anticipated until late 2026.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A very grounded Michele Bullock delivers a 0.25% rate hike

The ASX200 rebounded +0.4% on Tuesday, with most of the gains enjoyed after the RBA lifted interest rates from 3.85% to 4.1% at 2.30 pm. The materials sector was back on top of the leaders board, advancing +1% as gold stocks led the bounce, while tech was back in the naughty corner, retreating another 1.25%, taking it within 4% of making fresh 2026 lows.
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Morning report

Macro Monday: Gulf War sustains $US100 oil, weighing on stocks

The worst oil supply disruption in history shows little sign of easing, keeping crude elevated since the Iran conflict began as Trump and Iran’s new leader signal little appetite for de-escalation. Washington has allowed more sanctioned Russian crude to flow in an attempt to cap prices, but markets are increasingly concerned that Trump & Co may have bitten off more than they can chew, particularly with US mid-term elections looming in November.
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Morning report

ETF Friday: Reviewing Four Bond ETFs with higher interest rates on offer

The ASX 200 endured another tough session on Thursday, falling -1.3% and chalking up another triple-digit decline. Several headwinds weighed on the market, most notably oil surging more than ~9% at one stage, with the knock-on impact on bond yields dominating the headlines. A plan by the International Energy Agency to release millions of barrels from strategic reserves failed to calm markets after reports that Iran struck oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz, escalating fears of supply disruptions through the critical shipping route that carries roughly 20% of global oil trade. Every day Brent crude pushes above US$100 chips away at confidence that the global economy can quickly move past the Iran conflict.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time for Resources or Tech stocks?

The ASX 200 bounced another +0.6% on Wednesday with the miners and banks dragging the market higher, even when only 45% of the main board closed in positive territory. To put things into perspective, the local bourse closed up 50-points with the miners alone contributing +42 points to the day, helped by another solid day for iron ore, and related names. Traders were offered some relief from the recent volatility spurred by the Iran war on Wednesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) reportedly proposed the release of oil reserves. Unfortunately, the market failed to follow the heavyweight sectors higher, with weakness resurfacing in the tech and high growth stocks, more on this later with the Tech Sector, closing down 1.6%, just missing out on the wooden spoon to the Utilities sector.
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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Stocks & Bonds stabilise as Trump eases concerns over the war’s length

The ASX200 enjoyed a +1.1% relief rally on Tuesday, which saw almost 75% of the main board close higher. The rebound was driven by improved market sentiment, following President Trump's comments on the conflict in the Middle East. His optimistic comments drove oil prices well under the psychological $100 per barrel mark, and it was $94.37 per barrel at our close yesterday. US President Donald Trump told CBS the military operation in the Middle East was "very complete, pretty much" and "very far" ahead of its initial four-to-five-week schedule. A bounce in the influential materials and financials sectors drove the gains, with those two sectors accounting for more than 80% of the day's advance.
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MM remains bullish towards the ASX200 around 8300
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IVV
MM is now cautiously bullish towards the S&P 500 around 6600
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OOO
MM is bearish towards crude oil above $US100
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MM remains mildly bullish towards the US 2s, yields lower
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MM is now cautiously bullish towards gold ~$US4,400
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QRE
MM is bullish towards the materials sector ~20,000
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MM is cautiously bullish towards iron ore ~$US106/MT
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BHP
MM is long and bullish toward BHP around $47
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RIO
MM is bullish toward RIO around $144
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FMG
MM is long and bullish toward FMG around $19
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MIN
MM is bullish toward MIN around $50
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Latest Reports

Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at 4 ETFs in the cross hairs of the Middle East conflict

The ASX 200 fell by more than 140 points on Thursday, with escalating concerns about the Middle East conflict weighing heavily on the market. The miners (-4.8%) were front and centre of the selling, while energy (+5.1%) was unsurprisingly best on the ground. As the oil price surged above $US110, inflation fears soared, weighing on rate-sensitive stocks, with the crowded gold sector enduring some aggressive liquidation while tech and real estate names were also heavy as futures markets priced in at least two more rate hikes before Christmas.

Morning report

What Matters Today: 5 Major takeaways from March’s BofA Fund Managers survey

The ASX 200 rose another 0.3% on Wednesday, with around 70% of the index finishing higher as oil prices eased slightly and buying interest returned to the miners - RIO (+1.2%) and BHP Group (+0.7%). However, it was a relatively quiet session as investors digested this week's RBA’s split rate decision ahead of this morning’s Fed meeting, where no change was expected for a second consecutive meeting, and since the attacks on Iran, rate cuts are now not anticipated until late 2026.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: A very grounded Michele Bullock delivers a 0.25% rate hike

The ASX200 rebounded +0.4% on Tuesday, with most of the gains enjoyed after the RBA lifted interest rates from 3.85% to 4.1% at 2.30 pm. The materials sector was back on top of the leaders board, advancing +1% as gold stocks led the bounce, while tech was back in the naughty corner, retreating another 1.25%, taking it within 4% of making fresh 2026 lows.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Three gold stocks on MM’s radar as the sector corrects over 20%

The ASX200 ended a choppy session on Monday down 0.4%, with miners and tech stocks leading the declines. While fewer than 40% of the main board finished higher, it was the heavyweight miners that drove most of the decline, with BHP, Northern Star and Fortescue accounting for around 60% of the day’s net fall.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Gulf War sustains $US100 oil, weighing on stocks

The worst oil supply disruption in history shows little sign of easing, keeping crude elevated since the Iran conflict began as Trump and Iran’s new leader signal little appetite for de-escalation. Washington has allowed more sanctioned Russian crude to flow in an attempt to cap prices, but markets are increasingly concerned that Trump & Co may have bitten off more than they can chew, particularly with US mid-term elections looming in November.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Reviewing Four Bond ETFs with higher interest rates on offer

The ASX 200 endured another tough session on Thursday, falling -1.3% and chalking up another triple-digit decline. Several headwinds weighed on the market, most notably oil surging more than ~9% at one stage, with the knock-on impact on bond yields dominating the headlines. A plan by the International Energy Agency to release millions of barrels from strategic reserves failed to calm markets after reports that Iran struck oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz, escalating fears of supply disruptions through the critical shipping route that carries roughly 20% of global oil trade. Every day Brent crude pushes above US$100 chips away at confidence that the global economy can quickly move past the Iran conflict.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Is it time for Resources or Tech stocks?

The ASX 200 bounced another +0.6% on Wednesday with the miners and banks dragging the market higher, even when only 45% of the main board closed in positive territory. To put things into perspective, the local bourse closed up 50-points with the miners alone contributing +42 points to the day, helped by another solid day for iron ore, and related names. Traders were offered some relief from the recent volatility spurred by the Iran war on Wednesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) reportedly proposed the release of oil reserves. Unfortunately, the market failed to follow the heavyweight sectors higher, with weakness resurfacing in the tech and high growth stocks, more on this later with the Tech Sector, closing down 1.6%, just missing out on the wooden spoon to the Utilities sector.

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Stocks & Bonds stabilise as Trump eases concerns over the war’s length

The ASX200 enjoyed a +1.1% relief rally on Tuesday, which saw almost 75% of the main board close higher. The rebound was driven by improved market sentiment, following President Trump's comments on the conflict in the Middle East. His optimistic comments drove oil prices well under the psychological $100 per barrel mark, and it was $94.37 per barrel at our close yesterday. US President Donald Trump told CBS the military operation in the Middle East was "very complete, pretty much" and "very far" ahead of its initial four-to-five-week schedule. A bounce in the influential materials and financials sectors drove the gains, with those two sectors accounting for more than 80% of the day's advance.

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