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Morning report

Macro Monday: Cracks appear in the “AI Trade” ahead of Nvidia results

Wall Street may have notched its worst day in over a month on Thursday, but one category of assets has fared far worse this week — meme stocks. One painful example is NuScale Power (SMR US), a popular stock in the US used to play the power generation buildout theme for AI data centres, which plummeted ~50% last week, extending its losses from mid-October.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Navigating the volatile resources through the lens of ETFs

Volatility is on the increase in equities, but it's already been high in recent months across the commodity markets, from precious metals to lithium and copper. The moves have been significant as investors and traders have battled with the usual supply and demand fundamentals, combined with the almost random-like comments coming out of the Whitehouse. However, while the resources sector hasn’t been for the fainthearted, it has outperformed in 2025, with the Materials Index up 24% year-to-date, while the previously much-loved tech space is down 11%. This morning, we updated our views across 6 commodities using related ETFs as the need to keep our finger on the pulse increases.
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Morning report

What Matters Today: The New Energy Stack for AI

The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Wednesday, reversing early gains and closing below the psychological 8800 level. Over 50% of the main board closed higher, but another 3% drop by CBA was enough to drag the index lower, with Australia's largest bank now over 17% below its June high.
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what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: CBA drags the ASX into the red all on its own

The ASX200 started Tuesday in an encouraging fashion, up ~0.5%, as the US government neared a reopening deal, before the index reversed to close down 17 points, or 0.2%. The weakness was almost entirely down to CBA, even though winners outstripped losers by 2:1, when the ASX's largest stock tumbles 6.6%, the local bourse is going to struggle to close higher.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The market’s animal spirits are waning

The stock market didn’t crash last week, but after 7-months of “risk-on” enthusiasm, cracks have started to emerge. Rich valuations and fresh doubts over the real-world payoff of AI dragged US tech stocks to their worst week since April.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Is it time to “Buy the Dip” in the AI Trade using ETFs?

The ASX 200 bounced +0.3% on Thursday, helped by a strong session for the miners and energy names. Some stability in the likes of gold and iron ore was enough to push the sector higher, with all but a handful of names posting solid gains. The top-200 surged almost 70-points in early trade, but handed back more than half those gains as momentum waned in the afternoon, led by a couple of negative surprises on the stock level:
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the bull market in rare earths already over?

The ASX 200 slipped 0.11% on Wednesday, with investors taking a more risk-off stance across most sectors and stocks. The materials sector weighed the heaviest on the day, ably supported by tech names, which followed in the footsteps of overseas weakness across the “AI Trade”.
Read more
what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA hits the market just when it’s down

The ASX200 fell away from the get-go on Tuesday, and was not helped by a relatively hawkish rate hold from the RBA at 2.30pm. However, not all blame should be placed at the door of Michele Bullock & Co., the market opened down and was already on the skids as the US futures fell away after valuation concerns sent Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR US) lower, even after an impressive post-market report from the software and AI company.
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what matters today Market Matters
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MM remains neutral towards the ASX into Christmas
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IVV
MM is neutral on US stocks in the short term
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WDS
MM remains bullish towards WDS into 2026
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PDN
MM is long and bullish towards PDN
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MM is long and bullish towards WHC
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MQG
MM remain neutral towards MQG
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CBA
MM is neutral towards CBA ~$155
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QBE
MM is bullish towards QBE ~$20
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SUN
MM is bullish towards SUN ~$19
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CGF
MM is neutral towards CGF ~$9
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Latest Reports

Morning report

Macro Monday: Cracks appear in the “AI Trade” ahead of Nvidia results

Wall Street may have notched its worst day in over a month on Thursday, but one category of assets has fared far worse this week — meme stocks. One painful example is NuScale Power (SMR US), a popular stock in the US used to play the power generation buildout theme for AI data centres, which plummeted ~50% last week, extending its losses from mid-October.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Navigating the volatile resources through the lens of ETFs

Volatility is on the increase in equities, but it's already been high in recent months across the commodity markets, from precious metals to lithium and copper. The moves have been significant as investors and traders have battled with the usual supply and demand fundamentals, combined with the almost random-like comments coming out of the Whitehouse. However, while the resources sector hasn’t been for the fainthearted, it has outperformed in 2025, with the Materials Index up 24% year-to-date, while the previously much-loved tech space is down 11%. This morning, we updated our views across 6 commodities using related ETFs as the need to keep our finger on the pulse increases.

Morning report

What Matters Today: The New Energy Stack for AI

The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Wednesday, reversing early gains and closing below the psychological 8800 level. Over 50% of the main board closed higher, but another 3% drop by CBA was enough to drag the index lower, with Australia's largest bank now over 17% below its June high.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: CBA drags the ASX into the red all on its own

The ASX200 started Tuesday in an encouraging fashion, up ~0.5%, as the US government neared a reopening deal, before the index reversed to close down 17 points, or 0.2%. The weakness was almost entirely down to CBA, even though winners outstripped losers by 2:1, when the ASX's largest stock tumbles 6.6%, the local bourse is going to struggle to close higher.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: The market’s animal spirits are waning

The stock market didn’t crash last week, but after 7-months of “risk-on” enthusiasm, cracks have started to emerge. Rich valuations and fresh doubts over the real-world payoff of AI dragged US tech stocks to their worst week since April.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: Is it time to “Buy the Dip” in the AI Trade using ETFs?

The ASX 200 bounced +0.3% on Thursday, helped by a strong session for the miners and energy names. Some stability in the likes of gold and iron ore was enough to push the sector higher, with all but a handful of names posting solid gains. The top-200 surged almost 70-points in early trade, but handed back more than half those gains as momentum waned in the afternoon, led by a couple of negative surprises on the stock level:

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Is the bull market in rare earths already over?

The ASX 200 slipped 0.11% on Wednesday, with investors taking a more risk-off stance across most sectors and stocks. The materials sector weighed the heaviest on the day, ably supported by tech names, which followed in the footsteps of overseas weakness across the “AI Trade”.

what matters today Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA hits the market just when it’s down

The ASX200 fell away from the get-go on Tuesday, and was not helped by a relatively hawkish rate hold from the RBA at 2.30pm. However, not all blame should be placed at the door of Michele Bullock & Co., the market opened down and was already on the skids as the US futures fell away after valuation concerns sent Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR US) lower, even after an impressive post-market report from the software and AI company.

what matters today Market Matters
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