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The ASX200 continues to climb a wall of worry closing up another +0.5% yesterday, well above the psychological 6800 level while also posting its best close in 6 weeks. The resources drove the market higher with heavyweights Woodside Energy (WDS), BHP Group (BHP), South32 (S32), and Newcrest Mining (NCM) all enjoying a good day at the office. If the banks had embraced ANZ’s result we could easily have seen ourselves challenging 6900 but for now, we’ll have to make do with an encouraging ~7% rally from this month’s low.
The ASX punched new 5-week highs again today, now stringing together 4 consecutive days in the green. Even more impressive was that the index rallied without the banks as a disappointed ANZ result weighed on the Financials Sector. Resources strength drove the index today, supported by improving commodity prices and a weakening USD. Focus will turn to the ECB tonight which is expected to raise rates by 75bps, while early 3Q US GDP estimates will also land.
The ASX200 is starting to shrug off bad news as was evident yesterday when the local index gained +0.2% in the face of bearish news on both the Australian economy and the US corporate front:
Aussie shares followed positive overnight leads to jump to a 5-week high early in the day however higher than expected inflation data tapered the rally before midday. The market gave up 43pts in around half an hour, however, support kicked in with the index never dipping into the red today. Despite the higher-than-expected CPI, it was the yield focussed sectors that outperformed the market as Utilities and Real Estate rallied more than 2%.
The ASX200 rallied another +0.3% on Tuesday as it continues to toy with the psychological 6800 area, as we’ve said previously the market set-up is evolving with an uncanny resemblance to its look & feel through late June, into July. Four months ago once the consolidation was over the market rallied strongly without a backward glance, we are currently wary that many investors are too pre-occupied with the Fed’s interest rate decision and rhetoric next Tuesday when a more pragmatic and aggressive position towards stocks feels warranted as the current wave of selling appears to have exhausted itself.
A choppy session for the ASX today up ~50pts early before tapering off around midday ahead of the Federal Budget tonight – a quick run through of key budget themes below…
We are adding James Hardie (JHX) to the portfolio
The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday following Wall Street’s lead on Friday night as opposed to the savage declines which rolled across Chinese-facing stocks as Xi Jinping took full control of the world’s 2nd largest economy. The local market may have closed up +1.5% but it still surrendered ~30% of its early gains as the Chinese stock market rout weighed on sentiment. However, there were some shining lights which caught our attention as over 85% of the market rallied:
The ASX opened with a bang this morning buoyed by a strong session on Friday night in the US + US Futures also opened +0.75% higher this morning, although as they tapered off, our market followed suit having seen an early high of 6823 we ultimately closed more than ~40pts below it, although still a solid session.
The end of last week painted a picture to encourage the bulls although as we often say most statistics can be skewed to tell any specific tale: