Hi Simon,
Xero has been tough one for MM and many subscribers/Australian investors. The weakness over the last 12-months has been almost entirely down to valuation compression as the “AI Disruption Trade” unwound a number of software stocks – as the chart below illustrates its danced almost in tandem with its main rival Intuit (Quickbooks) during this period of weakness.
The stock looked on track for a decent bounce back towards $90 earlier in the month before inflation inspired concerns, courtesy of the escalation in the US-Iran conflict, caused another leg lower in growth stocks.
- Our crystal ball says XRO will trade between $60 and $90 in the second half of 2026 BUT we are closer to sellers than buyers as the stock plumbs 6-year lows.