Hi Glenn,
Lots of questions in there, especially in such a rapidly evolving market. Everything we hear and read around BYD sounds impressive but this has largely been reflected by the SP. We cannot help but draw comparisons with Tesla (TSLA US) a few years ago, and its more than halved from its high this year. Another impressive player enters the fray and BYD might start to struggle, a number are already claiming impressive battery charging times with more likely to join the fray:
- Zeekr claims that its new lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery, dubbed the “Golden Battery,” can charge from 10% to 80% in 10.5 minutes.
- Gotion’s claims its G-Current battery achieves a 10% to 80% charge in 9 minutes and 48 seconds.
- Farasis Energy has developed a 6C LFP battery capable of charging from 10% to 80% in 8.55 minutes.
- BYD has demonstrated that its latest battery technology can add 400 km of range in just five minutes of charging.
- CATL introduced the second-generation Shenxing battery, capable of adding approximately 520 km (323 miles) of range in just five minutes of charging.
Ignore the details, the picture is clear, the EV and battery technology landscape is evolving so fast and picking a winner is a tough ask. We therefore prefer to play the next wave of EV adoption in a couple of different ways:
- Copper is going to used in all EV’s so faster adoption will benefit the industrial metal – gains will be more muted than some of the names above but so will the likely losses.
- We believe China will continue to lead EV adoption and technology hence ETFs facing towards Chinese tech is another way to gain exposure to the evolution in relative safety.
- More boradly, we have a greater level of interest in investing around the edges of EV adoption, not the car manufacturers themselves i.e. we think Telsa’s value in the future will be underpinned by their automation smarts, and robotics, than actual car production.