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Help with Bank Hybrids please?

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Help with Bank Hybrids please?

It would be great if you could set out the ABC of Hybrid selection and ownership. Question 1. I have several Bank Hybrids. Amongst them are some AN3PG that are 7 months from their first optional exchange date. The prospectus states "On 20 March 2024, ANZ has the right to Exchange ANZ Capital Notes 4, subject to certain conditions including APRA’s prior written approval". The Mandatory Conversion Date is 20 March 2026. Is this usually what happens? On the first optional redemption in March 2024, the bank can elect not to redeem the Bank Hybrids. In this case, I can decide to continue to hold these Hybrids until "another date" or the Scheduled or Mandatory Conversion Date of March 2026, rather than sell the Bank Hybrids on the ASX at the prevailing market price now. When the Hybrid reaches the Mandatory Conversion Date, will owners have to decide to let the Hybrid convert into shares(at a probable loss?) or sell the hybrid on the market as best as possible to protect their capital, while at the same time needing to determine future dividends Question 2. Looking at the Shaw and Partners strategies Hybrid list you send out(thankyou) I sometimes think as a buyer, I just select from the right hand side of the bar graph, where the highest returns are working my way left (Yield to call/ Margin over swap rates are displayed)

Answer

Hi Geoff,

Q1: On the first call date in 2024, ANZ will likely redeem these, paying back the $100 face value + accrued distribution. They may give holders the option of taking the cash or rolling into a new security. It’s a condition in these securities that they need to get approval from APRA to redeem them, however this generally happens.

If, in the highly unlikely event that ANZ is forced to covert the Hybrids to equity (as its capital ratios drop below a predetermined level), holders of the hybrids get $101 worth of stock at the prevailing share price.

Q2: The longer dated securities should pay a higher margin than shorter dated securities  (more can go wrong between now and first call), regional banks should pay more than majors,  WBC should pay slightly more than CBA as CBA is better credit, AMP looks risky however they have a better balance sheet now than before, Challenger has a fairly complex business with a lot of moving parts they could get wrong so we tend to avoid those. Its balancing risk and reward essentially, like all investments.  At the moment, the shorter dated hybrids actually look attractive given a flattening of the forward curve (future rates).  Hybrids that screen well currently across different time frames:

  • Short Dated (<3 Years): CBAPH; WBCPI
  • Mid Dated (3 -5 Years): NABPH; CBAPL
  • Long Date (>5 Years):   WBCPL; AN3PK
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Major bank Hybrid Spreads – Source Shaw & Partners
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