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The Trade Desk (TTD US) $US132.53

The US listed ad-tech business reported Q3 earnings post-close overnight that beat expectations (mildly), though it does look like the level of growth has slowed a touch.

  • Revenue of $US628 million was up +27% y/y and ahead of the $US620 million expected.
  • Adjusted EPS 41c versus consensus of 39c, a 6% beat
  • Adjusted Ebitda $US257 million, up +29% y/y, estimate $252.6 million
  • Total operating expenses $US519.5 million, up +14% y/y but inline with estimates for $519.9 million

TTD has a very strong history of surprising on the upside, beating consensus at every result since 2016 at the EPS level. The ~6% beat overnight was good, but it’s low from a historical standpoint and guidance for Q4 shows a slight slowdown in momentum. They guided to revenue of least $US756 million which compared to existing consensus of $US753m and adjusted Ebitda about $363 million relative to current consensus of $US362 million.

  • Clearly the business is performing well, and the results reflect robust connected TV demand, it’s just that expectations are super high for TTD, a function of its own success.
MM remains long & bullish TTD, though we think the bullish run in the stock may stall ~$US132
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Trade Desk Inc (TTD)
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