Indices: Australian ASX 200
The ASX200 maintained its recent love affair with the 7500 area on Thursday finally closing up +0.35% with the influential financials offering the main support e.g. Suncorp (SUN) +4.6%, Macquarie Group (MQG) +2.6% and National Australia Bank (NAB) +1%. The winners and losers were evenly matched but it was the smaller end of the main index which dragged the chain hence the index managed to post a small gain e.g. Elders (ELD) -5.9%, Healius (HLS) -5.4% and United Malt Group (UMG) -4.1%.
The painful 9th straight rate hike was built into the market but comments like the above have significantly increased the prospect of rates breaching 4% in 2023 e.g. 3-year bond yields rallied +0.15% yesterday. Amazingly just last April the official cash rate was at 0.1% making it easy to comprehend why many households are starting to hurt and become frustrated by the RBA .
The ASX200 ended Monday down -0.25% following Friday’s weak session on Wall Street coupled with follow-through selling in the pre-market S&P500 futures. The weakness was broad-based with less than 30% of the main index closing in positive territory with the winner’s circle being dominated by the energy and gold names – more on the precious metal later following Newmont’s (NEM US) bid for Newcrest (NCM).
The ASX200 continues to enjoy an extremely strong start to 2023 with heavyweight names like Commonwealth Bank (CBA) and CSL Ltd (CSL) crushing the bears e.g. year-to-date they are up +8.3% and +9.1% respectively.
Really bullish, there's more to go in the reflation rally
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