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Forward dividends and growth potential of Amotiv (AOV), GrainCorp (GNC) and Magellan (MFG)

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Forward dividends and growth potential of Amotiv (AOV), GrainCorp (GNC) and Magellan (MFG)

Hi MM, Can you advise expected future dividends for AOV (Amotiv), GNC (Graincorp) and MFG (Magellan Financial). Both AOV and GNC appear to be beaten up stocks. I understand the reasons for GNC (lower crop volumes, small loss on Grain Connect, lower NPAT etc) but not sure on AOV. Going forward, are they growth stocks? GNC being agricultural will presumably require a good harvest season to rebound. Regards, Peter

Answer

Hi Peter,

Three different stocks here with a fair bit of volatility amongst them although we would caution labelling any of them as growth stocks:

Amotiv (AOV): This Auto business is forecast to grow revenue ~10% over the coming 2-years, i.e. modest growth at best. The company continues to generate cash and pay fully franked dividends, with a current yield near ~4.8% assuming volatile global automotive demand cycles, particularly 4WD and RV segments, remain supportive. Their next dividend is due in 23rd Feb and is likely to be 18.5c.

GrainCorp (GNC): this cyclical agribusiness is already down over 30% after delivering a sharp downgrade this week. The grain handler flagged global oversupply and competition for its ~25% downgrade to EBITDA. They now see an underlying profit in the wide $20-50mn range for FY26, down from $87mn previously, though consensus still has them on a yield of 8%, with the next dividend due in July, earmarked at 24c total (including a 10c special).

Magellan (MFG): the share price is unchanged over the last 3-years albeit with a few spikes along the way. For 2026/27 the key for Magellan will be stabilising FUM after they saw ~$300mn in outflows in the last quarter. Dividends could rise from FY25’s 73.3c supported by a strong balance sheet and the company’s new 80% minimum-payout guidance. With strategic partnerships still delivering an earnings tailwind we can see a +5% yield this year, with a ~20c dividend due in February.

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Amotiv Ltd (AOV)
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