Hi David,
That’s a tough one with both gold and silver accelerating to the upside as we type. MM is bearish towards the $US over the next two years which as we saw on Tuesday night, following President Trumps comments around “not being concerned around the weakness in the $US” creates a huge tailwind for precious metals. Trump’s comments added fuel to what was already the dollar’s deepest drop since his tariff rollout sent markets into a tailspin last year, fanning fears that his erratic policy shifts would drive overseas investors to pull back from the US.
Assuming we are correct and the $US Index is headed towards the 90 area, even though we are neutral/cautious in the short-term towards precious metals given the parabolic moves, the bigger picture looks bullish:
- For silver we can see ~$130/oz over the coming 2-years.
- For gold we can see ~$US5,800/oz over the coming 2-years.
However, we reiterate precious metals are volatile, especially when the crowd is aggressively long and bullish as they are now, and we see another $US400-500 pullback at at least one stage in 2026 – we prefer to buy the dip as opposed to chase the strength during parabolic rallies.