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Zip Co Ltd (ZIP)

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Zip Co Ltd (ZIP)

Hi Market Matters Team Your last view on ZIP was - ".....buyer under $3 if did not own it" Is this still your view after ZIP lost over 10% on Tues? I've read - " Zip dropped 10.7% amid uncertainty over a US inquiry into whether buy-now-pay-later providers comply with consumer-protection laws. " Are you concerned? How could this impact ZIP in the US? Is it a hold on ZIP or still a buy under $3? regards Debbie

Answer

Hi Debbie,

ZIP is still trading around $3, where you can play with the numbers and say it tripled from the April lows or has corrected ~40% from its October high. Also, we note  that a number of highly correlated tech/high growth or valuation names have also been under pressure over recent weeks.

However, moving onto the specifics around ZIP: the BNPL industry in the US, including Zip, received an inquiry from State Attorneys General offices – other firms who received letters are Affirm, Afterpay, PayPal, and Sezzle, some big names!

  • The inquiry reflects concern that BNPL lenders may not be complying with consumer-protection laws, especially now that a federal rule meant to treat BNPL as “credit” under the same protections as credit cards was withdrawn.

We feel ZIP already maintains stringent policies including relatively tight controls on accounts with missed repayments, but you never know what the ultimate outcome will be.

  • The risks cannot be underestimated with ~60% of ZIPs FY25 revenue coming from the US, and importantly most of its growth going forward.

On balance we still believe this uncertainty is creating a buying opportunity in ZIP back ~$3.

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Zip Co Ltd (ZIP)
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