Hi Paul,
Two very different companies here, neither of which has enjoyed the last few years.
Inghams (ING) – shares plunged last week after the company reported full-year revenue that missed estimates amid softer demand and a higher percentage of sales of lower-margin goods as consumers cut back on spending. ING’s NPAT for FY25 came in $89.8mn, well below analyst estimates in excess of $100mn leading a stream of downgrades. Cost of living pressures weighed on ING even though chicken is a comparatively cheap source of protein.
Also, they said operating costs are set to rise and sales prices to fall in FY26, nothing reads well there. Lastly, the concerns are growing with millions of dollars being thrown at a biosecurity defence plan to prepare Australia for the H5 bird flu outbreak sweeping the globe, ING will obviously be vulnerable.
- No good news in here and even with the stock down at $2.80 we feel safety is the better form of valour.
Spark New Zealand (SPK) – New Zealand’s largest telecommunications and digital services provider, serving a diverse range of customers—from households and small businesses to government agencies and large enterprises. This month’s FY25 report and FY26 estimates had little impact on the share price which has been falling for the last 18-months. Most investors are considering SPK for yield, but the picture has become clouded here:
- SPK’s dividend guidance, while sensible, was less than expected and the reasoning for the lower target remains is unclear . The mid-point of guidance is NZ16.5c, down from NZ25c in FY25.
The company is aiming to reduce interest costs, identify further cost-saving opportunities, and benefit from a modest economic recovery in New Zealand. At the same time, it sees potential to grow revenue per customer, which could help offset rising lease repayments and the decline in legacy private cloud and voice services—ultimately supporting fresh cash flow growth. All feasible but not inspiring.
- We are neutral to cautiously bullish towards SPK around $2.30 courtesy of its ~10% yield.