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AMP, WOW, NEC

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AMP, WOW, NEC

Hi, long term subscriber but not asked any questions of recent times. I am starting to turn some of my SMSF portfolio 'exposure' from growth to income. Generally I am a contrarion trader which sometimes works for me sometimes gets me into trouble. Echoing Buffets sentiments though - sell when everyone is gready, buy when everyone is fearful and buy good quality buisnesses when they are on discount. You heard it all before. With this in mind I have started to dip into WOW and NEC = two beaten down stocks of recent times. WOW is still a great business, and lots of negative news at the moment. Its not a great dividend yield but I am happy to have it in my portfolio at the moment at these levels ie as a turn around story and stable if not exciting yield. NEC also caught my eye, way more volatile, good dividend yield (dont want to fall into a dividend trap) and traditional media company when media is 'in transition' (observe some of the takeways from the recent Trump win - Elon etc) but I think its still one of the better media businesses in Oz (they have some great assets across traditional, digital, radio & content) and its been sold down way too much I think. Lastly AMP. Have had in my portfolio for a number of years, entry price around 1 and watched it rise and fall and fall. Do I hang in there or reallocate? Thoughts on all three if I can please

Answer

Hi Mark,

We can see ourselves adopting a more defensive stance at some stage in the next 3-6 months which is effectively what you are thinking. With Warren Buffett siting on a cash pile of $US320bn he may like yourself appear to believe its time to be cautious, although he is 94-years old and wants to rest! We’ve touched on the 3 stocks below but we have commented on all at times in recent weeks:

  • Woolworths (WOW):  we saw with the banks that accumulating during a royal commission/govt. inquiry can add alpha to a portfolio in the medium term. We like WOW into current weakness below $30 but a test of/below $28 wouldn’t surprise before the the final report which is due to be provided no later than 28 February 2025.
  • Nine Entertainment (NEC): We own NEC in our Emerging Companies Portfolio, hence by definition we agree with you although we entered too early. We like the company, it may have been a dividend trap in recent years but it looks good value today,  with an initial target ~$1.50, over 20% higher.
  • AMP Ltd (AMP): we mentioned AMP on Thursday morning we like the rejuvenated stock with the risk/reward looking attractive ~$1.40.
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Woolworths Group Ltd (WOW)
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