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Is it time for Big4 to Resources Switch?

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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Question asked

Is it time for Big4 to Resources Switch?

Hi James and Team. Not a very original question I'm afraid, but pertinent to many at this point I think. Given the commentary by many that the big banks look over-valued through the lens of bothP/E and Book Value, and with ANZ a shade under $30 and BHP down to $42.70 this Wednesday evening, is it time to consider Bank to Resources switches? I am particularly interested in your thoughts on ANZ, WBC, BHP, FMG and PLS. You guys have been very 'on point' of late - thank you for your great service.

Answer

Hi Karl,

An extremely pertinent question and one considered daily at MM as we consider optimal sector tilts for what comes next. There are two parts to this equation, it doesn’t have to be a switch per se, we may reduce banks and then increase resources exposure at different times.

  • Banks, we have remained bullish the “Big Four” banks through 2024 but ANZ is slowly approaching our $31 initial target and we will consider reducing our exposure to the sector  over the coming weeks if it advances another ~3-5%.
  • The resources still “look and feel” heavy, and a foray by BHP below $40 wouldn’t surprise hence we remain patient with regard to increasing our exposure to the “Big Australian” and related names.

If subscribers are looking for a time to switch and then set and forget at this stage, we can see further outperformance by the banks hence MM is remaining patient for now.

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BHP Group (BHP) v Commonwealth Bank (CBA)
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