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Global Markets

US stocks have been in reverse since the FOMC but as far as we are concerned the major question for now is will the sell-off cycle by equity markets bottom out above, or below, June’s low i.e. 3636 for the S&P500.

  • We can see a far higher likelihood that US stocks break their June low than the ASX but the risk/reward is not exciting for the bears in our opinion – a falling VIX supports this view.
  • When we add the outcome from the FOMC with other geo-political & macroeconomic factors it remains hard to imagine how the news can get worse – Putin’s even threatening nuclear action.
IVV
MM remains bullish US equities into Christmas
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US S&P500 Index
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