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What are MM’s thoughts on REITS and Property stocks long term?

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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What are MM’s thoughts on REITS and Property stocks long term?

Dear James and the MM team, Although I knew that REIT's would be negatively affected by raising interest rates, I also thought that the market tended to price in events that were expected in the near future. I was therefore surprised at the big drop in REIT share prices on news of the interest rate hike (looked like 10% across the sector). My question is, for long term investors who are happy to hold through the cycle and like the dividend yield what would you do with shares like CLW and WPR? Keep holding or sell before the next interest rate hike? I guess that if we sell we can always buy back in at a lower price. Keep up the great work. Charles

Answer

Hi Charles,

The ASX200 REIT’s Index has indeed fallen heavier this week than we would have anticipated but interestingly through history the property sector usually struggles during the start of a rising inflation / interest rate environment but outperforms later in the cycle. Further downside wouldn’t surprise if the index and bonds continue to struggle but I’m not sure its the time to abandon ship, especially as the consensus is so convinced property prices are about to tumble. That said, the more expensive REITs will struggle most which is why we recently sold NSR, and we think the cheaper ones will outperform.

 

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ASX 200 REIT Index
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