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Viewpoint: Bullish

In line with our bullish outlook towards stocks and a pullback for bond yields & the $US we can see a sharp bounce for emerging markets into Christmas.

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In line with our bullish outlook towards stocks and especially tech over the coming months we like the ASX listed NDQ ETF for exposure to US tech.

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The huge US-based asset management company has a strong track record of using downturns to its advantage.

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The ‘Guac’ will generally rise to the top, and this chain of Mexican Restaurants has a lot going for them in this type of tough economic environment.

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A recent acquisition for the portfolio is Disney. Like its peers,  DIS US has had a tough 12 months with the share price more than halving, we think a recovery is around the corner.

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The environmentally focussed industrial company last week successfully raised equity and announced a very interesting global licencing deal.

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The audio-visual chip maker rallied more than 10% yesterday on strong AGM comments – and we think this is just the start.

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Share prices typically react to new news, outcomes that are not currently factored into the market.  Clearly, property has been hit hard over the past year with this property-focused fund manager down 55% YTD, however, what if a ‘less bearish’ outcome prevails? What assumptions have been built into CNI’s current guidance for flat YoY earnings?

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Identifying stocks that could/should rally in the near term requires a catalyst. For APA that catalyst has more to do with the stock being sold down 25% in the two months from August to early October.

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Around $4, we think Metcash should attract yield-hungry investors that pocket the dividend from the banks and look for the next ‘pay-day’. While we have covered the investment thesis on MTS a number of times (available on the company page here), the brief version is:

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