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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Both the EOFY and 8000 level are nigh

The ASX200 closed unchanged on Thursday with no lead from overseas markets; most local traders simply sat back and watched the Guzman y Gomez (GYG) IPO commence trading. By the end of the day, GYG was up +36%, valuing the Mexican fast food chain at over $3bn. At MM, we thought it would open strongly, but that was above our bullish expectations. As we said yesterday, let's hope this reignites some confidence in both local capital markets and stocks in general.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The Resources Sector weighs on the ASX

The ASX200 market slipped lower throughout the shortened week, finally closing down -2%, after showing so much promise going into the long weekend. With the likes of BHP Group (BHP), RIO Tinto (RIO), Sandfire Resources (SFR) and South32 (S32) all making fresh multi-week lows, it was always going to be a tough ask for the resources-laden ASX200 to advance. Conversely, the less influential Tech Sector fared much better, with most major names advancing in unison with the US NASDAQ, which posted fresh all-time highs in most sessions over the 5-days.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Canada and Europe both cut rates; who’s next?

The ASX200 market showed impressive resilience last week, rallying over 2%, inching ever closer to a new all-time high. The 8,000 milestone is now less than 2% away, a repeat performance, and we’re there. The strength should have encouraged the bulls, especially considering the market's ability to close on its highs for the week ahead of the US Jobs Report. However, the market continues to deliver very mixed results on the stock and sector level, with the resources likely to take their turn in the “naughty corner” at the start of next week after copper and gold tumbled on Friday night. NB: The ASX is closed Monday.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The market is unchanged in four months; it doesn’t feel like it!

The ASX200 rallied sharply into the close on Friday, reducing the weekly decline to 0.3%; it certainly felt far worse on Thursday morning – a classic case of “End of the Month” window dressing. At its worst on Thursday, the local market had pulled back 300 points or 3.8%, but come the close on Friday, it was smack in the middle of its last 4 months' trading range, hence our current market neutral stance.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Volatility is on the rise in most corners of the market

The ASX200 slipped -1.1% last week, although it felt much worse on Thursday and Friday as profit-taking swept through the Resources Sector following steep corrections in copper and gold. The catalyst for the move into the weekend was the release of the Fed Minutes from April 30th – May 1st, in other words, a great insight into the current thinking of Jerome Powell et al. The meeting came hot on the heels of a deluge of economic data that demonstrated inflation was remaining sticky
Read more
Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Rate cuts are back on the table, both home and abroad

The ASX200 enjoyed another solid week, finishing up +0.8% after retesting its all-time high on Thursday following market-friendly US inflation data on Wednesday night AEST. This week was a huge win for the Doves, with major economic data in both the US and Australia pointing towards an economic slowdown and inflation that might not be as sticky as many feared throughout April
Read more
Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Central Banks help propel the ASX back towards its all-time high

The ASX200 enjoyed a strong week, closing up +1.6% even after a sharp drop on Thursday when the retail and banking sectors dragged the broader market lower. By Friday's close, 10 out of 11 sectors on the main board had closed higher, with only the Consumer Discretionary Sector finishing in negative territory. On the stock level, there were some standout performances on both sides of the ledger, while the local index finished 2% below its all-time high, lagging slightly on the global stage:
Read more
Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The Fed and US Jobs data relieves rate pressures

The ASX200 edged +0.7% higher last week as easing bond concerns saw the rate-sensitive stocks/sectors recover strongly. However, some of April's best-performing areas of the market encountered some profit-taking. For example, the Real Estate +3.2%, Tech +2.3%, and Consumer Discretionary +2.1% sectors advanced strongly, whereas the Materials Sector slipped -0.3%
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Strong inflation crushes hopes of a rate cut in 2024

The ASX200 experienced a news-packed, volatile week, closing down 107 points on Friday. It might surprise some subscribers to know that the ASX200 ended the week slightly higher; it certainly didn’t feel like it on Friday. Wednesday's strong CPI print cast a long cloud over the rate-sensitive stocks/sectors. Australian credit markets are now factoring in the very real risks of a rate hike in 2024 after looking for two cuts only two months ago.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Volatility spiked on Friday after Israel launches strikes on Iran

The ASX200 endured a week to remember, closing down -2.8% on concerns that interest rates will remain “higher for longer” and increasing concerns that the Middle East tensions will deteriorate further after Israel retaliated against Iran following last week's drone attack. It's hard to imagine an amicable conclusion to the current problems in the Middle East, but we all hope it doesn't become another painful, prolonged affair like the Ukraine–Russia war, which has now entered its 26th month.
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MM is neutral towards the ASX200
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The Resources Sector weighs on the ASX

The ASX200 market slipped lower throughout the shortened week, finally closing down -2%, after showing so much promise going into the long weekend. With the likes of BHP Group (BHP), RIO Tinto (RIO), Sandfire Resources (SFR) and South32 (S32) all making fresh multi-week lows, it was always going to be a tough ask for the resources-laden ASX200 to advance. Conversely, the less influential Tech Sector fared much better, with most major names advancing in unison with the US NASDAQ, which posted fresh all-time highs in most sessions over the 5-days.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Canada and Europe both cut rates; who’s next?

The ASX200 market showed impressive resilience last week, rallying over 2%, inching ever closer to a new all-time high. The 8,000 milestone is now less than 2% away, a repeat performance, and we’re there. The strength should have encouraged the bulls, especially considering the market's ability to close on its highs for the week ahead of the US Jobs Report. However, the market continues to deliver very mixed results on the stock and sector level, with the resources likely to take their turn in the “naughty corner” at the start of next week after copper and gold tumbled on Friday night. NB: The ASX is closed Monday.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The market is unchanged in four months; it doesn’t feel like it!

The ASX200 rallied sharply into the close on Friday, reducing the weekly decline to 0.3%; it certainly felt far worse on Thursday morning – a classic case of “End of the Month” window dressing. At its worst on Thursday, the local market had pulled back 300 points or 3.8%, but come the close on Friday, it was smack in the middle of its last 4 months' trading range, hence our current market neutral stance.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Volatility is on the rise in most corners of the market

The ASX200 slipped -1.1% last week, although it felt much worse on Thursday and Friday as profit-taking swept through the Resources Sector following steep corrections in copper and gold. The catalyst for the move into the weekend was the release of the Fed Minutes from April 30th – May 1st, in other words, a great insight into the current thinking of Jerome Powell et al. The meeting came hot on the heels of a deluge of economic data that demonstrated inflation was remaining sticky

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Rate cuts are back on the table, both home and abroad

The ASX200 enjoyed another solid week, finishing up +0.8% after retesting its all-time high on Thursday following market-friendly US inflation data on Wednesday night AEST. This week was a huge win for the Doves, with major economic data in both the US and Australia pointing towards an economic slowdown and inflation that might not be as sticky as many feared throughout April

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Central Banks help propel the ASX back towards its all-time high

The ASX200 enjoyed a strong week, closing up +1.6% even after a sharp drop on Thursday when the retail and banking sectors dragged the broader market lower. By Friday's close, 10 out of 11 sectors on the main board had closed higher, with only the Consumer Discretionary Sector finishing in negative territory. On the stock level, there were some standout performances on both sides of the ledger, while the local index finished 2% below its all-time high, lagging slightly on the global stage:

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The Fed and US Jobs data relieves rate pressures

The ASX200 edged +0.7% higher last week as easing bond concerns saw the rate-sensitive stocks/sectors recover strongly. However, some of April's best-performing areas of the market encountered some profit-taking. For example, the Real Estate +3.2%, Tech +2.3%, and Consumer Discretionary +2.1% sectors advanced strongly, whereas the Materials Sector slipped -0.3%

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Strong inflation crushes hopes of a rate cut in 2024

The ASX200 experienced a news-packed, volatile week, closing down 107 points on Friday. It might surprise some subscribers to know that the ASX200 ended the week slightly higher; it certainly didn’t feel like it on Friday. Wednesday's strong CPI print cast a long cloud over the rate-sensitive stocks/sectors. Australian credit markets are now factoring in the very real risks of a rate hike in 2024 after looking for two cuts only two months ago.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Volatility spiked on Friday after Israel launches strikes on Iran

The ASX200 endured a week to remember, closing down -2.8% on concerns that interest rates will remain “higher for longer” and increasing concerns that the Middle East tensions will deteriorate further after Israel retaliated against Iran following last week's drone attack. It's hard to imagine an amicable conclusion to the current problems in the Middle East, but we all hope it doesn't become another painful, prolonged affair like the Ukraine–Russia war, which has now entered its 26th month.

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