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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The bulls are stampeding like Pamplona

The ASX200 rallied another +2.1% last week, posting a fresh closing high on Friday, extending July’s gain to +2.5%. Gains were broad-based over the five days, with all 11 of the main sectors closing higher, led by Tech and healthcare, which surged +5.2% and +4.8% respectively. The trend remains clearly bullish, and while the average gain for the month of July over the last decade is around 3% equities are breaking to new highs with strong momentum, and as we mentioned on Friday morning, the surprises in markets usually unfold with the trend - the best two Julys of the last decade have delivered gains closer to 6%.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Tariffs are back, but equities are still flaunting new highs

The ASX200 slipped 0.3% last week after dancing around the psychological 8600 level almost daily. While the index traded in a tight range, it was a very different story on the stock and sector level, with utilities surging +3.4% while real estate fell -3.2%, two theoretically rate-sensitive sectors moving in opposite directions. However, most of the action unfolded in the resources with a strong advance by iron ore in the back end of the week, helping heavyweight BHP Group (BHP) bounce over $2 to test its March high.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX200 closes above 8600 for the first time

The ASX200 advanced another 1% last week, closing above the psychological 8600 level for the first time. The healthcare, real estate, and materials sectors all closed up around 3%, while the financial sector was the weakest over the five days, closing down 0.7%. For the market to extend the recent gains, it will need to shrug off high valuations and lack of earnings growth, although, as we saw last week, the resources stocks can do some of the heavy lifting after experiencing a tough 18 months.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX is knocking on the door of all-time highs, with one day to go

The ASX200 finished the week up just +0.1% after Friday's sharp, almost 100-point reversal lower from early highs, led by the banks, taking the index back towards the 8500 level. However, under the hood, not everyone danced as one, with eight of the mainboards' eleven sectors retreating, led by energy and utilities, while the advances by the heavyweight financial and resources were enough to ensure the index closed positive, albeit just:
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX goes into holding pattern ahead of the EOFY

The ASX200 finished last week down 0.5% in a lacklustre period on the index level that was characterised by tight ranges with an overall net downside bias as the proverbial “Can” was kicked down the road in the Israel-Iran conflict. The ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East helped the energy sector advance by +5.3%, while the materials sector was the standout loser, driven by gold and iron ore names. Elsewhere, it felt like we were starting to see early signs of jockeying for the tax man and book ruling off into the EOFY.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Israel-Iran conflict awakens the Bear

Even after slipping 0.2% on Friday, following Israel's attack on Iran, the ASX200 managed to finish last week up +0.1%, posting its 5th consecutive weekly gain - overall impressive considering the unfolding conflict. Israel’s airstrikes on Iran added a fresh wave of uncertainty among investors, following closely on the heels of Trump's promise that he intends to impose unilateral tariffs on dozens of US trading partners in the coming weeks. A weekend is a long-time when conflict breaks out, but whatever unfolds in the Middle East over the coming days/weeks, it’s likely to test the mettle of the current bull market and potentially provide an opportunity to buy weakness for the 2H of 2025:
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Enjoy the long weekend and bull market!

Even after slipping 0.3% on Friday, the ASX200 advanced 1.0% for the week, closing just 100 points/1.2% below February's all-time high. Overall, it was a relatively quiet week as traders eyed the long weekend as an excuse to pull up stumps early, compounded by the uncertainty of Friday night's May Payrolls numbers (jobs data) - in hindsight, there was nothing to worry about there! Although it felt quiet, it was the market's largest one-week gain since mid-May, with the ASX200 now advancing for four consecutive weeks and set to start the fifth positively. As we approach the EOFY, it's hard to imagine following all of the Trump concerns that the ASX200 is up +9.6% for the FY, yet another example of how equities deliver over time:
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: As we approach the EOFY, the ASX200 is flirting with its all-time high

The ASX 200 rallied on the final trading day of May, closing up +0.3% for the session, leaving the index just ~2% below its all-time high. Overall, an excellent performance by the Australian bourse, advancing +3.8% for the month, shrugging off the ongoing uncertainty around tariffs and rising long-dated bond yields. However, a more dovish than expected RBA, a strong banking sector, suspicions of overseas buying, and a market caught underweight stocks after their dramatic “V-shaped” recovery from Trump's “Liberation Day” was enough to drive the local market back towards the 8600 area. With pullbacks well supported in one of the most hated bullish advances that we can recall, it makes for a compelling argument that new highs are just around the corner.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The RBA supports the ASX, but Trump’s back on the prowl

The ASX 200 ended the week up 2.47% courtesy of the widely anticipated RBA rate cut and Michele Bullock's not-so-widely-expected dovish rhetoric. Credit markets are now looking for an additional three rate cuts by Christmas or February’26 at the latest. Not surprisingly, the rate-sensitive names led the advance, with tech, real estate, and financial stocks adding the most points to the index, riding the RBA wave of optimism, although there were plenty of losers on the stock level, as the macro and economic news kept on flowing.
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The RBA will be centre stage this week, with a rate cut expected

The ASX 200 ended the week up +1.4 %, taking the month's gains to +2.7%, as the index pushed within striking distance of February's all-time high. The energy and tech sectors drove the gains, both ending the week by more than 5%, while defensive/rate-sensitive stocks dragged the chain, i.e. “risk on” was the order of the day. Out of the mainboard's 11 sectors, only the consumer staples, Utilities, and real estate sectors closed lower. The US-China “Trade Truce” set the platform for a strong start to the week, before the Australian market posted its highest level in three months on Friday after soft US economic data paved the way for interest rate cuts in Australia and the United States.  The positive statistics are continuing to line up:
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MM remains cautiously bullish on the ASX200 through 2025
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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Tariffs are back, but equities are still flaunting new highs

The ASX200 slipped 0.3% last week after dancing around the psychological 8600 level almost daily. While the index traded in a tight range, it was a very different story on the stock and sector level, with utilities surging +3.4% while real estate fell -3.2%, two theoretically rate-sensitive sectors moving in opposite directions. However, most of the action unfolded in the resources with a strong advance by iron ore in the back end of the week, helping heavyweight BHP Group (BHP) bounce over $2 to test its March high.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX200 closes above 8600 for the first time

The ASX200 advanced another 1% last week, closing above the psychological 8600 level for the first time. The healthcare, real estate, and materials sectors all closed up around 3%, while the financial sector was the weakest over the five days, closing down 0.7%. For the market to extend the recent gains, it will need to shrug off high valuations and lack of earnings growth, although, as we saw last week, the resources stocks can do some of the heavy lifting after experiencing a tough 18 months.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX is knocking on the door of all-time highs, with one day to go

The ASX200 finished the week up just +0.1% after Friday's sharp, almost 100-point reversal lower from early highs, led by the banks, taking the index back towards the 8500 level. However, under the hood, not everyone danced as one, with eight of the mainboards' eleven sectors retreating, led by energy and utilities, while the advances by the heavyweight financial and resources were enough to ensure the index closed positive, albeit just:

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX goes into holding pattern ahead of the EOFY

The ASX200 finished last week down 0.5% in a lacklustre period on the index level that was characterised by tight ranges with an overall net downside bias as the proverbial “Can” was kicked down the road in the Israel-Iran conflict. The ongoing uncertainty in the Middle East helped the energy sector advance by +5.3%, while the materials sector was the standout loser, driven by gold and iron ore names. Elsewhere, it felt like we were starting to see early signs of jockeying for the tax man and book ruling off into the EOFY.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Israel-Iran conflict awakens the Bear

Even after slipping 0.2% on Friday, following Israel's attack on Iran, the ASX200 managed to finish last week up +0.1%, posting its 5th consecutive weekly gain - overall impressive considering the unfolding conflict. Israel’s airstrikes on Iran added a fresh wave of uncertainty among investors, following closely on the heels of Trump's promise that he intends to impose unilateral tariffs on dozens of US trading partners in the coming weeks. A weekend is a long-time when conflict breaks out, but whatever unfolds in the Middle East over the coming days/weeks, it’s likely to test the mettle of the current bull market and potentially provide an opportunity to buy weakness for the 2H of 2025:

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Enjoy the long weekend and bull market!

Even after slipping 0.3% on Friday, the ASX200 advanced 1.0% for the week, closing just 100 points/1.2% below February's all-time high. Overall, it was a relatively quiet week as traders eyed the long weekend as an excuse to pull up stumps early, compounded by the uncertainty of Friday night's May Payrolls numbers (jobs data) - in hindsight, there was nothing to worry about there! Although it felt quiet, it was the market's largest one-week gain since mid-May, with the ASX200 now advancing for four consecutive weeks and set to start the fifth positively. As we approach the EOFY, it's hard to imagine following all of the Trump concerns that the ASX200 is up +9.6% for the FY, yet another example of how equities deliver over time:

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: As we approach the EOFY, the ASX200 is flirting with its all-time high

The ASX 200 rallied on the final trading day of May, closing up +0.3% for the session, leaving the index just ~2% below its all-time high. Overall, an excellent performance by the Australian bourse, advancing +3.8% for the month, shrugging off the ongoing uncertainty around tariffs and rising long-dated bond yields. However, a more dovish than expected RBA, a strong banking sector, suspicions of overseas buying, and a market caught underweight stocks after their dramatic “V-shaped” recovery from Trump's “Liberation Day” was enough to drive the local market back towards the 8600 area. With pullbacks well supported in one of the most hated bullish advances that we can recall, it makes for a compelling argument that new highs are just around the corner.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The RBA supports the ASX, but Trump’s back on the prowl

The ASX 200 ended the week up 2.47% courtesy of the widely anticipated RBA rate cut and Michele Bullock's not-so-widely-expected dovish rhetoric. Credit markets are now looking for an additional three rate cuts by Christmas or February’26 at the latest. Not surprisingly, the rate-sensitive names led the advance, with tech, real estate, and financial stocks adding the most points to the index, riding the RBA wave of optimism, although there were plenty of losers on the stock level, as the macro and economic news kept on flowing.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The RBA will be centre stage this week, with a rate cut expected

The ASX 200 ended the week up +1.4 %, taking the month's gains to +2.7%, as the index pushed within striking distance of February's all-time high. The energy and tech sectors drove the gains, both ending the week by more than 5%, while defensive/rate-sensitive stocks dragged the chain, i.e. “risk on” was the order of the day. Out of the mainboard's 11 sectors, only the consumer staples, Utilities, and real estate sectors closed lower. The US-China “Trade Truce” set the platform for a strong start to the week, before the Australian market posted its highest level in three months on Friday after soft US economic data paved the way for interest rate cuts in Australia and the United States.  The positive statistics are continuing to line up:

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