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A200
MM remains bullish towards the ASX200, around 8850
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DIA US
MM is bullish towards the Dow around the 52,500 level
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KRE US
MM is bullish towards the KRE ETF around US$78
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FXI US
MM is cautiously bullish towards the FXI ETF around US34
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VLUE
MM is bullish towards the VLUE ETF around US$190
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Latest Reports

Morning report

ETF Friday: Assessing 3 ETFs that are experiencing noticeable outflows this week

July has seen a tale of two halves for ETF flows: The month began with a sharp risk-off rotation as investors cut exposure to technology and AI, with the Nasdaq tracking QQQ losing ~US$11.5bn over four consecutive sessions, the S&P 500 tracking IVV shedding ~US$1.7bn, and software ETFs also suffering heavy redemptions. The standout exception was semiconductors, where SOXX attracted a record US$3.4bn in the week to 10 July, while US-listed ETFs remain on track for a record US$2tn of inflows in 2026.

Income Report: Asset allocation framework when targeting income
Afternoon report

The Match Out: Weaker numbers from BHP cap market gains

The ASX 200 finished essentially flat today, with strength across financials, communications and consumer discretionary offset by sharp weakness in materials and energy. The market recovered from earlier losses but struggled to make headway as BHP reversed much of Wednesday’s rally and oil-exposed names continued to give back recent gains.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX higher as US banks deliver blockbuster results

The ASX ground higher today, with strength in the heavyweight miners offsetting weakness across energy, consumer staples and communications. It was the first session in over five where stocks opened firm, yet selling ticked up over the course of the day, with the market finishing well off it’s early peak. While we’re bullish on the market, investors are still in this buy weakness, sell strength mentality while the Middle East situation remains unresolved – lets hope we can get back to focussing on earnings at some point.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The ASX200 “again” looks poised to test the 9000 level

The ASX 200 has now rallied from early losses to close near its highs for five consecutive sessions, after recovering an early 50-point deficit on Tuesday to end the session flat. The miners bounced strongly to close higher despite crude oil trading ~5% higher, with Evolution Mining (+3.2%), South32 (+2%), Regis Resources (+2%), Sandfire (+1.5%), and BHP Group (+0.6%) catching our eye as a slow but steady bid tone surfaced across the gold and copper names. These miners were helped by a recovery in gold (+0.5%) and copper (+1.5%) during our trading session as the $US edged lower ahead of the important US CPI inflation data.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: The market ‘wants’ to go up

Another session where stocks were hit early before a spirited fightback saw the index little changed, recovering ~50pts from the session low. It certainly seems the market wants to go up;  it just can’t get any clear air out of the Middle East. The ASX 200 finished virtually unchanged on Tuesday as weakness in the banks, consumer staples and property stocks was offset by strong gains across energy and materials.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

What Matters Today: Should we sell when insiders do?

The ASX 200 has now rallied from early losses to close near its highs for four straight sessions, a classic hallmark of a market with strong underlying buying support. The banks helped the market close higher on Monday, despite 60% of the main board closing lower, but overall it was a fairly lacklustre session considering the fresh US-Iran fighting, which sent US stock and bond futures lower as oil pushed back towards US$80/barrel. Again, we ignored sharp losses across the semiconductor space in Asia, but that’s no major surprise, given the dearth of major AI stocks on the ASX. Unfortunately, news out of the Middle East continued to deteriorate overnight:

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX prints small gain despite a spike in Oil

The ASX eked out small gains to kick off the week despite oil spiking higher on fresh US-Iran strikes and conflicting statements from each side on whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open to shipping. Six of 11 sectors finished in the red, with most support at the index level coming from the banks, while Telstra (TLS) +1.6% bounced back after last weeks outage.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Macro Monday: Global Equities remain resilient despite renewed conflict

Last week we saw renewed fighting in the Middle East, with Iran declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed "until further notice" on Saturday, stating no vessels would be permitted to pass until foreign interference ends. Last week, Crude oil spiked around 8% following the escalation in tensions, although it did surrender some of the gains as the week wore on. However, despite the geopolitical uncertainty, global equities shrugged off the fighting, with the Dow making new all-time highs and the MSCI World Index closing less than 0.5% below its same milestone.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The ASX200 continues to tread water around 8800

The ASX 200 finished a soft week on a positive note as miners rebounded strongly on Friday, although the Materials sector still ended the week as the worst performer, down -4.4%. Fresh fighting between the US and Iran combined with a sharp unwind of the AI Trade to weigh on the miners and risk sentiment in general. Encouragingly, improving market breadth helped cushion the downside, with each of the past three sessions following a similar pattern: early weakness attracted bargain hunters, allowing the market to recover and close near its highs.

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July has seen a tale of two halves for ETF flows:

The month began with a sharp risk-off rotation as investors cut exposure to technology and AI, with the Nasdaq tracking QQQ losing ~US$11.5bn over four consecutive sessions, the S&P 500 tracking IVV shedding ~US$1.7bn, and software ETFs also suffering heavy redemptions. The standout exception was semiconductors, where SOXX attracted a record US$3.4bn in the week to 10 July, while US-listed ETFs remain on track for a record US$2tn of inflows in 2026.

 

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