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Thoughts on US tech

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Thoughts on US tech

Hi Guys, Happy New Year! I know we aren't meant to say it after Australia day, but given this is my first question for 2025, I wanted to wish you all well for the coming year! I read with interest your view on the recent US tech sell down in this morning's report, noting that you think it is too early to buy the dip. But, given that US tech has surged more than 3x since 2022, and with upcoming volatility expected, is 2025 the year of underperformance for US tech? Is it time to trim or sell some of these stocks/the fangs? Cheers, Josh

Answer

Hi Josh,

Similar to our view that the ASX will advance in a “3-steps forward, 2 back” fashion this year where buying the dip approach is likely to pay dividends, we believe it’s too early to say sell US tech per se, but there will be plenty of mixed performances under the hood:

  • Basis Wednesday nights close in the US, the local FANG ETF was trading ~1% below its all-time high while Nvidia (NVDA US) was a whopping 24% below its same milestone.

This looks set to be huge year for a stock/sector selection with US tech likely one of the most volatile spaces. Through the current reporting season MM will dive into the reports and outlook for many US tech names, it’s definitely time to keep our fingers on the pulse.

  • At this stage we believe US tech’s major outperformance post COVID is behind us, and in a general sense, we have a bias towards reducing tech, though this will evolve inline with views on specific stocks.
  • Our most recent change in the International Equities Portfolio highlights this, selling Apple (AAPL US) and buying HCA Healthcare (HCA), with both companies having reported this week.
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Global X Fang ETF (FANG)
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