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Updated view on KAR

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Updated view on KAR

To the MM Team, Please can I have an updated view on KAR. I understand that to a large extent the price of listed oil companies are a function of the oil price (and by extension the economy) but KAR has fallen substantially more than WDS. Analyst price expectations seem very optimistic at around $2.40. I think your last update was back in June when you were relatively bullish on the stock. How do you feel now? Thanks, Charles

Answer

Hi Charles,

In June we were relatively bullish oil and gas explorer KAR when the stock was  ~$1.64 but have avoided both WDS and KAR throughout 2024 as the sector largely “felt wrong.” We have huge conflict in the Middle East yet oil is struggling ~$US75/barrel, as we often say MM doesn’t like markets that cannot rally on positive news tailwinds.

WDS is regarded as more conservative, lower Beta play toward oil and gas, hence accordingly KAR is likely to bounce harder when the worm turns.

  • Although KAR feels cheap under $1.40 we see no short term catalyst to catch this falling knife.
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Karoon Energy Ltd (KAR)
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