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What are your thoughts towards the TYR situation?

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What are your thoughts towards the TYR situation?

Hi James , TYR has had a big rally from it's lows and probably missed the boat on this one. But with a takeover target hanging over its head from Potentia Capital Management do you see much more upside ? Do you have a price target as they rejected the first offer I think around $1.27 ? Cheers Craig

Answer

Hi Craig,

TYR is trading ~15% above Potentia’s opportunist $1.27 bid and we, like the market, can see other bids coming forth although its hard to 2nd guess where the board would be happy sellers after the stocks plunge from ~$4 in less than 12-months. The reasons we can see further bids are fairly straightforward:

  1. Consolidation is the name of the game for TYR and its peers as the cost of capital rises.
  2. The stocks still looks fairly cheap compared to levels scaled last year making it a logical target for someone looking for accelerated growth.
  3. Tyro has a  big customer base, however it’s hardware is aging and this will be a cost moving forward.

MM can see limited downside for TYR from todays $1.45 but likewise its hard to see someone offering say $1.75 leaving us neutral for now. Consensus 12 month price target for TYR is $1.57, most of the main brokers are fairly neutral on TYR.

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Tyro Payments (TYR)
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