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Stocks to be patient with?

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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Stocks to be patient with?

Hi again, I have just two stocks that I'm concerned about that I've held patiently for quite some time, which are Mesoblast (MSB) and Bravura Solutions (BVS). Interestingly, both five-year charts are almost identical. Would you maintain the vigil or get out? Thank you for your continued guidance. David

Answer

Hi David,

Two very different companies here even if their charts are similar. We note that charts do often tell a tale but they are never the sole reason we use to buy or sell a stock.

Mesoblast (MSB) is a biotechnology company developing stem cell, based therapies for inflammatory diseases, cardiovascular conditions, and orthopedic disorders.

  • After a tough first half of 2025 we think MSB has turned the corner following its strong quarterly update in July showing early commercial traction for its recently launched FDA-approved therapy Ryoncil, along with expanding payer coverage and solid financials.
  • In August it announced FY25 revenue of $17.2mn up from $5.9mn in 2024 with estimates of ~$68mn for FY26.
  • We like the risk/reward towards MSB below $2.50, initially targeting $3.

Bravura Solutions (BVS) is a fintech / financial-software company that builds and supplies administration, management, and back-office systems for the wealth management, superannuation/pension, life insurance, funds administration, advice, and transfer agency sectors.

BVS rerated on the upside in December 2024 and February 2025:

  • In December, BVS raised its financial outlook for FY25, increasing expected revenue, EBITDA, and cash EBITDA targets. The company also announced it would resume paying dividends (after a pause) and committed to a capital return to shareholders, signalling its confidence in cash flows and financial health.
  • In February, its 1H25 results showed a sharp turnaround with large improvements in EBITDA, cost controls, improved margins , while moving from loss to profit.

We are cautiously bullish towards BVS ~$2.40 with a test of $3 not off the table if it maintains its recent momentum.

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Mesoblast (MSB) v Bravura Solutions (BVS)
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