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MM, why the negative view on PNI?

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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Question asked

MM, why the negative view on PNI?

I know that you sold out of PNI at $9.90 about 3 months ago. I also note that your stock dashboard has you as "Neutral to Bearish". My question with a potential 18% upside based on your TP, why the negative sentiment. I would have thought that stock market stocks like this would do well when the market turns more Bullish. No doubt that as always, you have a very good reason. Thanks for the great job you are doing I honestly think your market commentary has saved me tens of thousands of dollars. Charles

Answer

Hi Charles,

Thanks for the question & positive feedback. as always much appreciated. I believe the confusion comes down to timeframes, back in February we wrote, note the highlighted parts:

“PNI announced their half-year results after market yesterday, trading to 4-week lows during the session on some weak numbers. While revenue was marginally lower, profit fell 24% to $30.5m on lower performance fees and investment in growth initiatives. An increase in the average base fee margin to 53.5bps was positive, however, the company struggled to generate business and saw net outflows of $1.5b. We continue to like the company over the medium term, positive on its diversified income streams and performance fee upside, however, these results justify our near-term bearishness with the need to see a turnaround in FUM flows and benefits from their investment in the business.”

  • At the time we were neutral to negative and the stock has since drifted -3.2% lower.

Also, note the “Target Price” you mentioned is broker consensus, not MM’s view.

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Pinnacle Investment MGT Group (PNI)
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