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Updated thoughts on Aristocrat Leisure (ALL)

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Updated thoughts on Aristocrat Leisure (ALL)

Hi James and Team Can I have your current view on Aristocrat. Today is 13/5/25 - ASX200 to open up 1% Early April I made a choice between buying CAR ($31.50)and ALL($61.50). I went with ALL- while both stocks are up from those levels - Aristocrat is up 9% since purchased and CAR is up by 17%. Today ALL at the moment is $66.99 -3 and CAR is $36.84 +1.52 on a very bullish trading day. I know they are different type of stocks but LNW (light & Wonder) is trading $139 +$7.04 (+5.33%) today. Any reason why Aristocrat is not trading higher on a day like today? regards

Answer

Hi,

The question is based on Tuesday’s price  action, with ALL set to report earnings the next day (Wednesday) – keeping people on the sidelines. As it turned out, they reported a sorter result that we discussed on Wednesday and that’s lead to some underperformance versus other growth stocks.

  • Consensus earnings were pulled back ~3% for FY25 and 26 following the update.
  • Brokers cut their forecasts, UBS cut their Price Target (PT) 2.8%, to $72.40 while Jefferies’s cut theirs 10% to $72.
  • No brokers had a PT below $70 while Barrenjoey were at the top end ~$76.
  • When softer results come through, underperformace is the by-product.

We already hold a 5% position in our Active Growth Portfolio hence have no plans to increase our exposure. While the stocks generally much loved and owned we do expect it to find support into dips.

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Aristocrat Leisure Ltd (ALL) Earnings Expectations – Source Bloomberg
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