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Gold

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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Gold

With the recent US$ strength, would you still have conviction to hold gold related equites (NST, EVN, WGX) & would you still consider the dips that occur opportunities to buy? Historically gold is still high with producers hopefully having good margins subject to cost execution with some possible higher dividends over the next reporting period? Saying this, should it be the case of not to hold a gold resource stock for the dividend? Has you view on the US$ changed since the US election result? Thanks as ever, Bernie Hi Guys Just wondering what your thoughts are on the decline of gold and related shares. Do you expect this to go much further? I have some gains on EVN, NST, BC8 and a few other gold plays, although gains are half of what they were a few weeks back. Not sure whether to sell before they drop further or hold. So the question is, do you expect this to be very short term and then for a recovery? If so, what’s your rough expected timing? Whilst things are looking bright with Trump in, ultimately the landscape is the same and I think a recession next year in USA is inevitable. Many thanks Kim Good Morning, precious metals have taken a hit with China and the strengthening $USD. Some of them - such as silver, platinum and copper - were initially pegged as beginning a multi-year bull run. Despite the current pullback, do you think this prognosis is still intact? Thank you again for your guidance. David  

Answer

Hi Guys,

At MM we offer General Advice and do not discuss subscribers personal positions or circumstances.

Gold is a fascinating/topical subject after Trump’s landslide election victory which has indeed led us to adopt a neutral stance on the $US into 2025. As we alluded to in our recent Gold Fever webinar both Shawn & James like gold into pullbacks – they don’t always agree! However that comment is a bit like saying “how long is a piece of string” and after golds now retreated over 8% since Trumps win it still feels a touch heavy.

We do believe gold will ultimately move higher but after surging over 70% from its late 2022 low investors shouldn’t be surprised by the current pullback, especially with Trumps inflationary policies (higher rates) hanging over precious metals. However, after correcting ~$USS250 we do believe the metal is in an “accumulate” area.

Back around $4.25 for EVN we will look at increasing our position and thus exposure to gold.

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Gold Spot ($US/oz)
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