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Thoughts on FMG and WK Kellogg Co (KCG US)

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Thoughts on FMG and WK Kellogg Co (KCG US)

Hi, 1) Like MM, I also got into FMG too early but my holding is small (<1%). So my question is, is it a good idea to top up at current levels below $17 coming into a dividend paying period? Do you see much further downside to the iron ore price? 2) Do you have a view on WK Kellogg Co (KCG US)? Regards, Peter

Answer

Hi Peter,

Two very different companies, you must a diversified portfolio!

Fortescue (FMG): iron ore miners bounced into the weekend along with the broader market and although they are not out of the woods yet we do believe they are in an accumulation area, i.e. MM is considering increasing our BHP exposure after its break below $40. We can see FMG consolidating around the $17 area which makes the stock fairly attractive with a chunky dividend due in early September. However, we cannot discount further downside in iron ore until Beijing can turn around China’s embattled property market.

WK Kellogg (KCG US): In May cereal manufacturer WK Kellogg Co beat Wall Street estimates for quarterly sales as higher product prices offset pressure from slowing demand for the Froot Loops maker’s ready-to-eat breakfast items and snacks. Like other major brands in the packaged food market, the spun-off North American cereal business of Kellanova had been ramping up prices to shield its margins from an inflation-induced slowdown in consumer spending.

  • However, when KCG released its latest quarterly earnings data early this month. They reported $0.36 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.42 by $0.06.
  • The firm had revenue of $672 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $671.50 million. Its revenue for the quarter was down 4.0% compared to the same quarter last year.

KCG has been trending lower since April and it feels like it needs to deliver solid sales to hold above $US16 – its not on our radar.

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WK Kellogg Co (KLG US)
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