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Why is MM never bullish on cryptos?

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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Question asked

Why is MM never bullish on cryptos?

Hi MM, BTC has been one of the best performing assets this year following the bear market and I notice you have been neutral all year. Given the possible ETF approvals, network and lindy effects, high amounts of government debt and debasement of currencies around the world, halving in April 2024. What would it take for you to be bullish?

Answer

Hi Nathan,

Firstly, it’s important to note MM is a stock market service as opposed to crypto and as such we tend to use the likes of Bitcoin at certain junctions in time as a indicator of liquidity in circulation, clearly important with regard to stocks. However, we feel you are being a little unfair to say we are always neutral per se:

  • In December 2022, just before Bitcoin more than doubled we wrote “MM is glad to have avoided the crypto space over the last 12-months, as we’ve written over the last few months technically Bitcoin looks interesting into weakness towards $US15,000.”
  • Secondly, we were bullish Bitcoin in June/July and its subsequently rallied ~25%.

Our interpretation of Bitcoin is derived from charts only, we don’t have any fundamental insight into crypto’s, so we simply revert to price action to determine our views. The best report to see our current outlook towards Bitcoin/cryptos is our Macro Monday Report.

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Bitcoin ($US)
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