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Boral & Magellan under the microscope

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Boral & Magellan under the microscope

Hi James and team, Thank you for your services--its been a fairly good year due to your astute observations and comments. Thanks again. A couple of questions please when you are able: MFG-I have been a happy holder of MFG for some 7 plus years, but my loyalty (especially) to the “Hamish factor” is looking a bit misplaced by now, and I read from company docs that there are structural changes ahead which may make it Impossible for MFG to repeat its performances of the past good years--specifically tax changes --" , investors should also be mindful that MFG is subject to higher taxes in three years' time (from the concessional 10% towards a 30% tax rate), following an end to special tax breaks on offshore banks and fund managers. Although this may mean more franking credits, it also reduces the potential for MFG to sustain its dividend yield” . and also some inferences that there may be some disagreements at top management level, and worries about structural/negative changes to be caused by recent Chinese government policy changes. BLD--Has been divesting itself of US assets steadily--but still has about 3 bill AUD to come in if I read the reports correctly. From what I read in Chairman’s report, this is to “distributed to shareholders” --when they figure out the best way to do it (my understanding) ---However the continual “South East” trajectory of the share price is not what I would expect at all--I would have though at least some “North East” travel-- lol…What (probably obvious) thing am I missing here??--Is all the news already in the price?? Merry Xmas and a Happy New Year, Kind Regards Paul A.

Answer

Hi Paul,

  • Magellan (MFG) $29.40 – we hold a small 3% position in our Active Income Portfolio which at the moment looks average even though we only bought it in mid-November. The stock went into a trading halt on Friday due to the loss of a “material contract”, which when combined with the recent changes at the board level with Brett Cairns resigning makes it all too hard at the moment i.e. we have no interest in increasing our position and we will re-evaluate our holding after the details behind the trading halt are released to the market. In terms of tax treatment, I will need to investigate further, that has not come up in research we have conducted.
  • Boral (BLD) $5.94 – the construction materials supplier has struggled over the last 5-months but its still trading well above its pre-COVID levels, we simply believe the stock got ahead of the good news as so often happens. Most research houses have become nervous on BLD’s ability to deliver on its planned Australian transformation programme plus they see challenges looming for margins into 2022. We often like to adopt a contrarian stance to companies but we have no interest in this case and we could easily see another 5-10% downside. The other issue is of course Kerry Stokes who now owns 70% of the business via Seven Group, funds have been exiting because of that concentration and now reduced liquidity.
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Magellan Financial Group (MFG)
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