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MMs thoughts on Banks/hybrids

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MMs thoughts on Banks/hybrids

Dear James/Shawn, Could I get your best guess on what the share prices of ANZ and WBC will do over the next 6 months ? These seem to be the least quality of the big banks. If you think their prices will likely fall as a mild recession hits, is there a case to be made to sell these banks going into 2023, and buy bank hybrids with a 6.5% running yield before they go ex-divi in the next few weeks ? John

Answer

Hi John,

Taking a 6 month view, the Hybrids will provide more certainty of income and lower volatility in price, however the answer depends on strategy / goals of the portfolio. In our income portfolio, we hold more hybrids than bank stocks while we don’t hold Hybrids in our Flagship Growth Portfolio. Given our view that we are mildly bullish into early 2023, we believe there will be more upside in holding bank stocks for this period – next year could be a different story however.

Our short-term target for ANZ is ~$26.50 and Westpac ~$24.50 i.e. slightly above recent swings highs but they have both recently traded ex-dividend.

 

 

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ANZ Bank (ANZ)
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