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ASX Uranium stocks underperforming

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ASX Uranium stocks underperforming

Why has there been such an underperformance of our Uranium stocks on the ASX this year?  You have picked a good thematic in Uranium and have Paladin in your growth portfolio, but it is down 50%.

If you look at the USA, year to date, Cameco is UP 36% and the Global X Uranium ETF (URA) is UP 17%.  Whereas in Australia over the same time frame, Paladin is DOWN 22% and Boss is DOWN 29% for example.

I know our miners have had some issues recently, but do they really deserve such outperformance as compared to their USA peers?

Why does this always seem to happen on the ASX? Is it because of all the shorting? If so, why aren't they shorting all the Uranium stocks in the USA too? It just seems that on the ASX any whiff of bad news and our stocks get absolutely smacked, while in the USA any whiff of good news and they go flying.

Answer

Hi Scott,

Firstly, we share your frustrations, we’ve called the uranium thematically well and our Paladin (PDN) position looks awful due to poor operational execution. That said, these are two very different companies in terms of their size, their geographical footprint, the diversity of their operations and their track record. Cameco (CCJ) has multiple operations in multiple countries and is a lot more established than PDN. CCJ is 15x the size of PDN, which has one operation that is in re-start mode. They are processing stockpiles of old ore, and this has not gone to plan. This speaks to the higher risk nature of PDN vs CCJ vs a more diversified Uranium ETF.

We own both PDN and CCJ, so while we’re disappointed with PDN, we’re equally pleased with CCJ. We do believe the harsh treatment of PDN has been excessive and the stocks great value around $8 but its not for the faint hearted – we have discussed PDN a few times in the last week.

In terms of why this happens more regularly on the ASX, one of the reasons is size and maturity of our listed companies. Smaller, less diversified companies are more boom and bust in nature.

There have also been some similar stories in the gold space with the precious metal surging to new all-time highs while many stocks in the sector are struggling to rise above their 2020 highs due to operational challenges.

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Paladin Energy (PDN) v Cameco Corp. (CCJ US)
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