Ashland (NYSE: ASH) $US72.84
A solid +7% bounce in Ashland shares overnight after they delivered a good third-quarter result, with sales and earnings ahead of expectations and full-year guidance maintained.
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Undervalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 6 NOV 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 73.82 Fair value 84.12 One-star price 95.85
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 6 NOV 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 6 NOV 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (73.82) to the one-star price (95.85).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): USD/USD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 76.28 |
| Price - 12 month high | 78.00 |
| Price - 12 month low | 48.00 |
| Pricing date | 5 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 0.55 |
| Market capitalization | 3,508.69 |
| 12 Month High price date | 7 AUG 2026 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 20 NOV 2025 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 0.61 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | -0.21% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | 6.39% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | 45.96% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 2.55% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | 50.34% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | 28.96% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 10.90% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -17.740 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 1.640 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 2.280 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 39.652 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 40.707 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 41.391 |
| Book value per share - most recent quarter | 40.836 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | 13.717 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent quarter | 14.347 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 4.674 |
| Cash per share - most recent quarter | 9.608 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 7.065 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 6.276 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | 1.440 |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 1.670 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 8.243 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -17.740 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 1.560 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -18.230 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 1.050 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 4.398 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | 140.35 |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 33.75 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 1.89 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | 5.38 |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 25.36 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 15.53 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 1.90 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 140.35 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 41.53 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 1,036.00 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 1,275.00 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 1.75% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 2.18% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 2.18% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 227.00 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 77.15% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | -7.90% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 78.26% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent quarter | 77.97% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent quarter | 78.93% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 199.00 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | 18.86% |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 1,824.00 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 1,842.00 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | -516.00 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 373.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | -809.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 125.00 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | -845.00 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 52.00 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 39.00 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 106.00 |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 2.20 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | -45.07% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 4.07% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.82% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 6.79% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 6.79% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | -44.35% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 7.24% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | -4.64% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 9.92% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 10.80% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | -2.44% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | -16.22% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 1.64% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | -34.80% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 3.99% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | -1.11% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | -2.72% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | -283,448.28 |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | 628,965.52 |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | -1.98% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | — |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | 8.90% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 3.71% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | -8.63% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | — |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | -3.62% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | -5.92% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | — |
Financial forecast (USD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | ||||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (USD, millions)
| Period end: | SEP 21 | SEP 22 | SEP 23 | SEP 24 | SEP 25 |
| Fiscal year: | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
Announcements are available for ASX-listed companies only.
A solid +7% bounce in Ashland shares overnight after they delivered a good third-quarter result, with sales and earnings ahead of expectations and full-year guidance maintained.
Ashland has had a difficult run over the past few years, so the recent share price strength on takeover speculation has been a welcome development for shareholders, including MM. While the stock has rallied sharply over the past few weeks, it still trades on 16x depressed earnings, suggesting the market remains sceptical of its ability to turn things around.
Ashland’s quarterly update overnight was disappointing, with earnings per share coming in lower than expected and the company trimming FY26 guidance. Shares traded down ~13%.
We are making several changes to the International Equities Portfolio
We’ve retained Ashland Inc on the Hitlist for the International Equities Portfolio, awaiting a catalyst to buy. Our last updated opinion was in December, yet the share price has remained under pressure since.
As major indices continue to track around all-time highs, we’re becoming more conscious of looking beyond the well-known names in the US market that have been primary drivers of the strength, into more industrially focused companies that will benefit from a broadening of the market rally.
We originally covered Ashland, US-listed additives company back in May (here) adding to our Hitlist for the International Equities Portfolio. It was trading at ~$US77 with an improving outlook which quickly got captured in the share price which ran up to $US100, without our participation. This week, they released mixed Q3 results and though they lowered their FY24 sales guidance. Most analysts lower earnings estimates as a result , and shares are back in the low 80’s.
Ricky Sandler, the CIO at New York-based hedge fund Eminence Capital, presented first at this week’s Sohn Hearts and Minds conference. The order in which the 11 fund managers present is decided by how well their stock picks have done from last year’s event, a great idea for accountability! So, while Ricky was first up having last year’s best bet, Jun Bei Lu from Tribecca was the last cab off the rank!
MM remains bullish on ASH US ~$US72
MM remains long & bullish ASH US ~US$64
MM remains positive on ASH despite lower guidance
MM is buying ASH US in the International Equities Growth Portfolio, targeting a 4% weighting around $64
MM is bullish ASH US ~US$50
MM likes the risk/reward towards ASH US ~$76
MM is bullish ASH US around $US80
MM is adding ASH US to our Hitlist
Ashland Inc. is a specialty materials company serving markets including pharmaceuticals, personal care, food and beverages, coatings, construction, energy, and electronics. It operates through four segments: Life Sciences, Personal Care, Specialty Additives, and Intermediates. Life Sciences contributes the highest revenue, offering functional additives for pharmaceutical and nutrition applications. Personal Care provides ingredients for skin, hair, oral care, and household products, while Specialty Additives supplies performance-enhancing additives for coatings and. Intermediates produce BDO and related derivatives used in polymers, electronics, agriculture, and pharmaceutical applications. The company generates sales across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and regions.
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