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Australian Investment Blog

Afternoon Report 10/05/2017

What a day….Banks spring back from post budget hangover!

Carnage on the open this morning saw banks sold off hard from the get go following confirmation overnight that there will be a $6.2bn transaction tax imposed on the big 4 banks to plug the budget black hole, however as is often the case when an event like this prompts BIG selling pressure, we see a snap back – and the market rallied hard for the rest of the session with the index +71pts from the session lows driven by a big turnaround in the banks. CBA opened sub $80, a level we’ve spoken about as a BUY however unfortunately, it traded there briefly before buyers stepped in. Fictitious ‘model’ portfolios would have gotten filled but unfortunately the alert process saw us miss the proposed sub $80 buy level for CBA and the sub $32 buy level for Westpac for the MM portfolio - we’ll continue to monitor.

Massive Intra-Day moves in the Banks from the lows today…ANZ the biggest of them after getting pummelled in the last few days!

Westpac (WBC) – BIG bounce from lows

Elsewhere the resources were strong early and built on the strength throughout the session with RIO the clear standout adding +2.06% to close back at $60.00 on the back of a +1.84% move higher in Iron Ore throughout Asian trade. It looks distinctly like the resource stocks can find some form here after a fairly difficult period. We’re long BHP, RIO and Oz Minerals…

On the broader market, it opened down but as suggested above, the market rallied hard which happens when fund managers are holding high cash levels. We had a range today of +/- 71 points, a high of 5888, a low of 5816 and a close of 5875, up +34pts or +0.61%.

ASX 200 Intra-Day Chart

ASX 200 Daily Chart

Staying in the resource space and a stock we wrote about earlier in the week – Alumina (AWC) looking to buy sub $1.70 had an interesting update today……traded up to $1.73 and we now see CITIC Resources, they’re major shareholder once again creeping up the register after a 6 month hiatus…adding another +1.1%n to hold just shy of 20%....some action bubbling under the surface it would seem. We didn’t pull the trigger given our existing resource exposure however the stock looks interesting.

Alumina (AWC) Daily Chart

Elsewhere, we finally saw a breakout in QBE Insurance (QBE) while Suncorp was also strong on the session. QBE the standout though with the $13.30 resistance finally giving way and the stock closed up +3.62% to $13.45. A level we’ve often flagged and now it’s been broken a run up to $14 in short order seems the likely outcome…We’ve owned the stock since $10.49, have been patient given the positive trends in terms of Insurance premiums and interest rates and it’s now paying off it would seem.

QBE Insurance (QBE) Daily Chart

Have a great night,

The Market Matters Team

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All figures contained from sources believed to be accurate. Market Matters does not make any representation of warranty as to the accuracy of the figures and disclaims any liability resulting from any inaccuracy. Prices as at 10/05/2017. 5.00PM.

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