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JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH) $71.65

There are some obvious pros and cons towards JBH after yesterday’s FY26 report.

Positives

  • A quality retailer often regarded as the finest on the ASX. Great history of navigating tough environments
  • Forecast to yield 4.7% fully franked over the next 12-months.
  • JBH can maintain mid-single-digit revenue and EBIT margin growth over the next 5yrs albeit modestly.
  • MM doesn’t believe the RBA will hike rates again in 2026.

Negatives

  • JBH is still trading around its average historical valuation despite the challenging economic backdrop. The PE could easily contract.
  • JBH is a “very owned” stock on the ASX, leaving room for steep falls as we saw yesterday.
  • Sentiment is likely to remain tainted after yesterday’s disappointing report and trading session.

It’s hard not to imagine JBH trading at a discount to its historical valuation until confidence returns to the Australian consumer.

  • We wouldn’t be surprised to see JBH test the $60-65 region into Christmas and for that reason, we are selling our position for now, taking an 8-10% loss across the Growth & Income Strategies.
JBH
MM is neutral towards JBH around $72
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JB Hi-Fi Ltd (JBH)
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