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A200
MM remains bullish towards the ASX200 around 8950
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SEMI
MM is neutral towards the Korean KOSPI around 6250
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NDQ
MM remains bullish towards the NASDAQ around 28,800
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FSLR US
MM remains long & bullish FSLR US ~$US230
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WIRE
MM is bullish towards Copper over the coming years
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BHP US
MM is long and bullish towards BHP around $60
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Latest Reports

Morning report

What Matters Today: Can EVs and AI drive the next re-rating of ASX miners?

The ASX 200 erased early losses on Monday to start August on the front foot, closing up +0.5%, back above the psychological 9000 level. Gains were broad-based, with fewer than 30% of ASX stocks closing lower. Just as importantly, selling pressure was limited; the day's worst performer, Fortescue (FMG), fell only 3.8%, while six stocks rallied more than 5%, highlighting the market's underlying strength.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Good buying from morning lows see’s the ASX finish higher

The ASX 200 recovered from a weak start to finish +42pts higher today, a good ~80pt turnaround from the lows with utilities, industrials and consumer discretionary stocks leading the advance. Australian futures had initially pointed to a decline of around 1%, but sentiment improved after President Donald Trump called off planned strikes against Iran and pushed for renewed negotiations, reducing the immediate risk of a larger regional conflict.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Macro Monday: Hold on tight, ASX reporting season is about to begin

Despite a volatile month, the ASX 200 ended July up +2.3%, delivering almost exactly its average return over the past 20 years as the market heads into August. As we all know, there are “lies, damned lies, and statistics”, but keeping it simple, as the chart below illustrates, July is usually a very strong month for the local index:

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Can 9000 become the new 8800?

The ASX 200 finished a volatile week up +2.3%, reaching a four-month high on Wednesday after softer-than-expected inflation data reduced fears of higher interest rates. The ASX shrugged off a sharp pullback earlier in the week by the “AI Trade” and a 1150-point drop by the Dow on Wednesday night after hawkish comments from Fed Chair Warsh - as we’ve been saying through July, the local market is slowly starting to get its “Mojo” back as we head into reporting season.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX outperforms US to end July up +2.3%

The ASX 200 finished modestly higher today, securing a fourth consecutive monthly gain despite giving back most of an early rally. The index traded as high as 9,059 before closing just +9 pts higher (down ~85pts from the open), with strong gains across materials, selected technology names and gold miners offset by weakness in healthcare, consumer staples and communications.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

ETF Friday: Four ASX ETFs making major moves in July

The Dow recovered over half of Thursdays decline overnight as Microsoft surged +15.5% after strong Azure cloud growth reinforced confidence that AI infrastructure spending is yielding results, sparking a broad rebound across semiconductor stocks. The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) climbed more than +8%, with Micron Technology jumping +18% and AMD rising more than +13%, while South Korean memory giant SK Hynix rallied over +17%. The move reignited the momentum trade, with the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) gaining more than +5% as investors rotated back into AI-linked names. In contrast, Meta Platforms fell 8% after issuing softer revenue guidance and reporting a 91% decline in second-quarter free cash flow. Volatility may be high at the stock level, but this earnings season continues to support US indices, with ~68% of stocks beating EPS and ~79% on the revenue line - the balance of the S&P 500 stocks are due to report in the coming fortnight, with the local names also getting ready to face the music in August.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX pulls back from 5-month high

The ASX 200 snapped a three-day winning streak today, retreating from yesterday’s five-month high as investors reduced risk following a sharp sell-off in the US. Materials and consumer stocks under most pressure, although strength across technology and selected energy names helped cushion the decline.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

What Matters Today: Four stocks MM likes as the inflation outlook improves

The ASX 200 surged through 9000 yesterday, closing up +1% at a fresh 4-month high, supported by a soft inflation read (CPI). Gains were fairly broad-based for a triple-digit day with ~70% of the main board advancing, led by the rate-sensitive stocks. As we’ve alluded to in the last few morning reports, the ASX has been getting its mojo back of late, and the soft CPI hasn’t hurt the backdrop for local stocks. Even the Australian Financial Review quoted our comments along these lines overnight:

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The ASX 200 erased early losses on Monday to start August on the front foot, closing up +0.5%, back above the psychological 9000 level. Gains were broad-based, with fewer than 30% of ASX stocks closing lower. Just as importantly, selling pressure was limited; the day’s worst performer, Fortescue (FMG), fell only 3.8%, while six stocks rallied more than 5%, highlighting the market’s underlying strength.

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